Hurricane Amelia, only miles from landfall, strengthens further; Congress approves aid package unanimously

Hurricane Amelia has strengthened even further as it approaches landfall in District 4, according to the Panem Weather Service.

The storm, previously recorded as having a wind speed of 175 mph 1-minute sustained winds and 899 millibars, now has been recorded at a 1-minute sustained wind speed of 200 mph and a minimum pressure of 872 millibars.

“It is without a doubt that this hurricane is incredibly dangerous, and should any citizen remain in the path of such a storm, they will die. If you haven’t evacuated, leave immediately,” said the Panem Weather Service in their advisory on the system.

It is predicted that Hurricane Amelia will make landfall later tonight without further intensification, but the Panem Weather Service says the threat does not end with landfall. They are urging surrounding districts, specifically Districts 9, 10, and 11, to be prepared for torrential rain, destructive winds, and higher threats of tornadic events.

Congress, in other news, has unanimously passed an aid package through both houses of the national legislature to the tune of $10.2 billion as requested by President Mellark. The money will go to District 4 specifically, with potential other aid packages considered as needed.

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Mellark and Tarson rush back to Capitol to manage reaction to hurricane crisis

President Peeta Mellark and Vice President Rebecca Tarson were forced to take a break from the campaign trail to return to the Capitol as a massive hurricane bore down on the coast of District 4.

The hurricane, tentatively nicknamed Hurricane Amelia, forced the largest peacetime evacuation in Panem’s history as District 4 residents flooded away from the monster storm. The hurricane was caught on military satellites as it was gaining strength in the Gulf of Mexico, with hovercraft inspecting the storm after it was discovered.

Hurricanes, though a major problem before the Dark Days, have not been common since World War III. Scientists believe that this is due to the effects of the widespread nuclear warfare, causing a rapid decrease in temperatures worldwide and ultimately impacting the climate of the planet. In fact, this is predicted to be the first landfall on the continent of North America since Coriolanus Snow (the first) established his rule over Panem after World War III. Due to the infrequency of such storms, prediction centers have not been needed.

Hurricanes, for those in Panem who may not be aware, are described as “rapidly rotating storm systems characterized by a low-pressure center, a closed low-level atmospheric circulation, strong winds, and a spiral arrangement of thunderstorms that produce heavy rain.”

As it currently stands, “Hurricane Amelia” has a 1-minute sustained wind speed of 145 miles per hour with a minimum pressure of 924 millibars. “Amelia” sits around 350 miles off the coastline of District 4 and is anticipated to make landfall as a very strong hurricane within the next week.

Secretary Amy Oaksmith, head of the Department of the Interior, is predicting that the damage from this storm will be catastrophic. “There is no reason that any citizen of District 4 should remain in the path of this storm. They need to leave, because the repercussions of not leaving are fatal. Belongings can be replaced, but human lives cannot.” The Governor of District 4, Harold Cersisa, has issued a mandatory evacuation for the entire coastline and inland areas that could be affected.

CONVENTION WRAP-UP: Civic convention unifies, Conservatives rally, and Centre begins its landmark journey

Today we will be wrapping up coverage of the final three conventions due to their overlapping timelines.


CIVIC CONVENTION:

Senator Quentin Kennedy accepts the VP nomination of the Civic Party.

Civic Party leaders and delegates met in District 6 to designate Senators Patrick Newsom (D3) and Quentin Kennedy (D6) as their standard-bearers for the upcoming election.

The convention served as a source of party unity following what was a brutally-fought primary for the presidency. Samuel Trenton, the defeated rival of now-nominee Patrick Newsom, introduced the senator and called him “one of the greatest leaders in this country’s history.” Former President and previous party leader Cecelia Paylor lauded Newsom and Kennedy with praise, declaring them “just what the party and this country needs at this tumultuous time.” The speaker list is below.

Speakers (Night One): 

  • Fannie Bush, actress (D2)
  • Kyra Close, candidate for representative (D1)
  • Nic Martel, candidate for representative (D7)
  • Walter Rigby, candidate for governor (D11)
  • Sawyer Coburn, businessman and candidate for governor (D9)
  • Raylin Kramer, senator (D6)
  • Quentin Kennedy, senator and nominee for vice president (D6)

Speakers (Night Two): 

  • Amelia Vance, representative (D10)
  • Valerie Wilkins, representative (D6)
  • Tom Dawkins, representative (D3)
  • Sadie Myers, former senator (D3)
  • Ivy Spellings, First Lady of District 3 (D3)
  • Bertram Spellings, governor (D3)
  • Russell Paylor, former First Gentleman of Panem (D8)
  • Cecelia Paylor, national security advisor, former President, and party founder (D8)
  • Samuel Trenton, former Cabinet secretary, former Speaker, previous VP nominee, and candidate for president (Capitol)
  • Patrick Newsom, senator and nominee for president (D3)

CONSERVATIVE CONVENTION:

Marvel Wheeler, D4 district representative.

Meeting in District 4, the Conservative Party convened their third quadrennial party convention. This year, however, brought a convention with new party leaders and a brighter picture for the Conservatives in comparison to last convention, where Rick Canth and Jackson Canth were nominated amid major disapproval and mass walkouts that resulted in an independent ticket.

Conservatives rallied around former Gov. Kaitlyn Jones and her running mate, former Sec. Delia Sutherland, declaring them “the only sane choices in this insane political world.” Notable absences included the Canths, but for good reason: Jones and Sutherland categorically denied their endorsements and declared the pair to be “persona non grata” in Conservative circles for their illegal actions. The speaker list is below.

Speakers (Day One):

  • Annise Byrd, district representative and candidate for governor (D6)
  • Marvel Wheeler, district representative (D4)
  • Cooper McPharlin, activist and candidate for governor (D1)
  • Regina Durant, businesswoman and candidate for representative (D13)
  • Julian Gibson, district representative (D6)
  • Belinda Copley, representative and former LG (D6)
  • Lynn Germaine, former Secretary of Intelligence (D4)
  • Robert F. Maxwell, businessman (D4)
  • Delia Sutherland, former Secretary of the Interior and nominee for VP (D4)

Speakers (Day Two):

  • Cam Bullock, district senator and candidate for representative (D12)
  • Victoria Warren, district senator and candidate for representative (D14)
  • Deon Masterson, district representative and candidate for representative (D15)
  • Kurtis Pierce, former Secretary of the Treasury and candidate for president (D2)
  • Jack Oliver, former Secretary of Global Development and candidate for VP (D11)
  • Carl Parsons, representative and former LG (D11)
  • Andrew Jones, former First Gentleman of District 11 (D11)
  • Kaitlyn Jones, former governor and nominee for president (D11)

CENTRE CONVENTION:

Senator Julie Roydon accepts the Centre Party presidential nomination.

The convention circuit ended with the Centre Party’s inaugural convention in District 13. The convention was a landmark for the fledgling party, which is currently in its first presidential election cycle.

The convention’s main goal was to display a conclusive vision for the Centre ticket, as the main attack that the Roydon/Christian ticket receives is a lack of clear goals for the nation. Speakers hit on a conservative economic policy, a liberal domestic policy, and a pragmatic approach to foreign policy. A speaker list is below.

Speakers (Day One):

  • Donald Beck, representative and candidate for governor (D6)
  • Stephanie Peters, representative (D15)
  • Lorrie Trent, district senator and candidate for representative (D1)
  • Glenn Beckham, actor and candidate for governor (D7)
  • Rachel Cross, district representative and candidate for representative (D15)
  • Adrianne Horsfall, representative and candidate for governor (D1)
  • Dillan Christian, representative (D10)
  • Matthias Christian, representative and nominee for VP (D10)

Speakers (Day Two):

  • Isabel Calhoun, representative (D2)
  • Natalia MacGregor, district senator and candidate for representative (D4)
  • Rita McDaniel, representative (D11)
  • Tim Coombs, representative (D1)
  • Brady Hanley, representative (D14)
  • Sextimus Dalton, former VP candidate, former representative, and former lieutenant governor (D5)
  • Clarke Randall, senator and Centre Senate Leader (D9)
  • Joseph Garrett, senator (D15)
  • Michael Roydon, husband of presidential nominee Julie Roydon (Capitol)
  • Julie Roydon, senator and nominee for president (Capitol)

BREAKING: Jacquelyn Warner named D7 Senator; Karina Erickson named Solicitor General

BREAKING: Jacquelyn Warner officially tendered her resignation to President Peeta Mellark today before taking the oath of office as District 7’s new junior senator. Soon after, Senator Warner rushed over to the White House, where she stood by as former Attorney General Karina Erickson was nominated to be her successor as Solicitor General.

The double-whammy of nominations ended a long game of musical chairs in the Capitol, all of which started with Associate Justice Malcolm Lowell’s passing. Attorney General Alexandra West was selected to succeed him on the Supreme Court, which then triggered Senator Calvin Wilkie’s nomination as Attorney General. In turn, that allowed for Jacquelyn Warner’s appointment as senator, which resulted in Karina Erickson being nominated for Solicitor General.

Reportedly, Jacquelyn Warner was number one on Governor Mason Wallace (Liberty-D7)’s list out of a total of one candidate. Warner had previously been plotting a run for political office, according to insiders. It is unknown if that run would have been for governor or for senator, but it was likely that Warner would have made either primary competitive as her approval ratings are quite high in her home district.

Karina Erickson’s return to the Department of Justice is nothing short of intriguing as she returns to a lesser position that one she previously occupied. However, it’s rumored that Erickson accepted the position after much advice to do so from Secretary Celine Oswald, First Lady Katniss Everdeen, President Peeta Mellark, Vice President Rebecca Tarson, and even newly-minted Senator Warner herself.

Now, the President must work to usher in three nominees for three separate positions: Associate Justice, Attorney General, and Solicitor General. Jacquelyn Warner, however, does not require an approval process; she, however, faces her first election in the next midterm election.

January 1: Congress, districtwide offices inaugurated

Today, nine new Senators were inaugurated alongside four new chief executives and two new lieutenant governors. senate-inaugurationLikewise, many new representatives have been inaugurated as well. This is all due to the fifth midterm elections that were held back in November that swept these new officials into their positions.

Nine new Senators were inaugurated (in alphabetical order):

Wesley Benson (Liberty-Capitol), freshman class president
Jacob Ellsworth (Liberty-D3), freshman class vice president
Joseph Garrett (Centre-D15)
Clarke Randall (Centre-D9)
Lindsey Richards (Labor-D10)
Julie Roydon (Centre-Capitol)
Owen Talton (Liberty-D13)
Antonio Wallace (Liberty-D4)
Cedric Wallace (Labor-D8)

In the House, twenty-nine new representatives were inaugurated, nine of which were from seats that flipped parties.

In the districts, three new governors and a chief executive were inaugurated:

Celeste Armstrong (Liberty-Capitol)
Harold Cersisa (Liberty-D4)
Layla Folsom (Liberty-D8)
Serena Ross (Liberty-D5)

Also inaugurated were two lieutenant governors:

Todd Layton (Liberty-D5)
Ethan McCoy (Liberty-D8)

BREAKING: D4 Liberty Party opts for massive shakeup of midterm candidates

BREAKING: Internal sources from the District 4 Liberty Party are confirming that the slate of candidates that the party is putting forward for the upcoming midterm elections is set to be reshuffled.

The previous slate was the following:

Governor/Lieutenant Governor: Tony Wallace/Aaron Evanston

Senate Seat 1: Cassidy Albert

Senate Seat 2: Charlton Harrison

The Panem Free Press can confirm that the following slate is set to be nominated following withdrawals of candidacy:

Governor/Lieutenant Governor: Harold Cersisa/Aaron Evanston

Senate Seat 1: Tony Wallace

Senate Seat 2: Charlton Harrison

With the entry of Tony Wallace into the race for District 4’s first Senate seat, we can officially move our prediction to Liberty gain as Governor Wallace’s popularity will likely sweep over the unpopular Katrina Rowland and unknown Centre nominee Meredith Boeing.

In the case of presidential chief of staff and former Vice President Harold Cersisa’s entry into the governor’s race, our prediction will change from Lean Liberty to Liberty Hold. The decision by Cersisa to enter the race will send shockwaves nationwide, however, as the decision will affect the Mellark administration.

A Look at the Midterms

If you ask someone when the next election is, a majority of people will tell you that there’s an election every four years. While that’s true, there’s also the midterms- a typically decisive referendum on the policy of the ruling party. This year, the midterms are shaping up to be the second straight election that suits the Liberty Party, all thanks to the success of the Mellark administration.

However, that doesn’t mean that the Red-Green Coalition, Centre, and Conservative Parties have given up entirely in the face of what could be a landslide defeat. Instead, they intend to provide the largest force of opposition in Panem history- fielding prime candidates for races and pouring money into districts that are supposed to be safe for Liberty officeholders.

The following offices are up for election in the midterms.

  • Districtwide offices: Districts 2, 3, 4, 5, 8, 12, 13, 14
  • All Senate seats
  • All House seats

Let’s take a look at some of the highlights:

DISTRICT ONE:

District One only has Congressional elections this midterm.

In the Senate, Felicity Bass and Manfred Weston are up for reelection. Both are heavily entrenched, and neither are facing any significant opposition. Our prediction: Liberty hold (Senate seats 1 and 2)

DISTRICT TWO:

The Labor Party and the Centre Party are seeking to capitalize on discomfort with Liberty rule in the typically Liberty-friendly District 2, particularly with the unpopularity of the Taylor administration and the uncertainty of the new Warren administration. In any scenario, it will be an uphill slope for the opposition in a district who has elected a Liberty government since Gale Hawthorne first governed the district. Our prediction: Liberty hold (Governor, LG, Legislature)

In the case of Senators Vance James and Cason Hampton (both Liberty Party members), both are expected to weather the political storm that is brewing in District 2 without any issue. Our prediction: Liberty hold (Senate seats 1 and 2)

DISTRICT THREE:

District 3 is a top target for Liberty this cycle as they attempt to turn the greenest district in Panem into a Liberty-friendly district.

In the districtwide elections, it’s expected to be a high-profile set of races. However, this doesn’t mean that they will be competitive- Civic holds District 3 heavily, and it’s unlikely that any Civic incumbents will be unseated. In the governor and lieutenant governor’s race, the incumbent ticket of Bertram Spellings and Sara Turner (Civic) will face off against the Liberty ticket of District Senator Kara Jepson and District Representative Hal Rimmer.  Both tickets are unopposed in their primaries. In the legislature, Liberty is attempting to make grand strides by running high-profile candidates, but the legislature is undoubtedly remaining in Civic’s hands. Our prediction: Civic hold (Governor, LG, Legislature)

In the Senate elections, it’s a fight to the death. Sadie Myers, the senior senator and Civic leader in the Senate, will face off against Senate minority leader Jacob Ellsworth (Liberty) and district representative Rocky Washington (Centre) in a high-stakes election. The Civic National Committee is pouring millions into this race to save one of their remaining seats. The biggest question lies with how much Washington draws from Myers and Ellsworth- depending on which way the voters swing, Washington could easily spoil this race for the Civic Party. In the case of first-term Senator Patrick Newsom, the Liberty Party is also making a major play for this seat with the entry of three-term Representative Christopher Delford who is considered a game-changer in a district that was never considered an option previously for Liberty. Newsom will also face off against Cheryl Appleby, the Centre Party businesswoman. In both races, Labor has elected not to field a nominee and back the nominee of the Civic Party in respect to the coalition agreement previously made. Our predictions: Lean Civic (Seat 1 – Myers), Lean Civic (Seat 2 – Newsom)

DISTRICT FOUR:

In District 4, both Congressional and districtwide elections are to be held.

District 4 as of late has a very partisan lean towards the Liberty Party, though it was only a short time ago that the Labor Party had a strong presence in the coastal district. The party still has a presence, though much diminished. The Labor Party, as such, is attempting to capitalize on nostalgia in order to bring their influence back in District 4. As such, they have nominated district Secretary of State Floyd Phillips and district senator Rickey Humphrey in a strong attempt to unseat the incumbent ticket of Governor Antonio “Tony” Wallace and Lieutenant Governor Aaron Evanston. Centre is expected to nominate a ticket as well, but that ticket is undetermined at this time due to a fierce primary fight. Our predictions: Lean Liberty (Governor, LG), Liberty hold (Legislature), Tossup (Secretary of State)

In the senatorial races, the senior senator, Katrina Rowland of the Labor Party, is a very vulnerable target this election in a highly antagonistic district. Though in years past she has held on due to incumbent-friendly environments, she is being heavily targeted by the Liberty Party (who will nominate Cassidy Albert, a representative from District 4) and the Centre Party (who will nominate Meredith Boeing, another representative) for the seat, with opposition pouring millions into removing her from the seat. Right now, it seems likely that Rowland will lose her seat, but due to the Labor Party’s major push in District 4, it’s quite possible that due to the three-way race Rowland makes it out alive. In the case of Senator Charlton Harrison, it is expected that the junior senator will be reelected against Labor nominee Tara Carlson and Centre nominee Walter Gamble. Our predictions: Tossup between Centre and Liberty (Seat 1 – Rowland), Liberty hold (Seat 2 – Harrison)

DISTRICT FIVE:

District 5 has been a serious point of contention this election, and we aren’t even halfway through the cycle. Both districtwide and Congressional elections will be held.

In the districtwide elections, incumbent Liberty governor Harold Dupont incited rage from his own party with his selection of Centre politician Sextimus Dalton as his lieutenant governor. Dupont is being primaried from within his own party as a result, facing off against alternative Liberty tickets like District Senator Serena Ross/District Representative Todd Layton and district agriculture secretary Kate Jarrett/businessman Walter Quick. Dupont as a result is incredibly vulnerable in his primary. Should Dupont survive, he will face off against Civic nominee Taylor Langston and Centre nominee Kathryn Neville and would face a very tough general election favoring Neville, according to recent polls. However, should either Ross or Jarrett succeed in taking the nomination, the race would be easily in their favor. District 5 has a long tradition of electing their governors and lieutenant governors separately, leading to split tickets at times. As such, Dalton faces a different race than Dupont- Dalton at least has a level of popularity, especially with the Centre Party members in District 5. Since Dupont is refusing to name a candidate to run with, it will be a rough election cycle for Dalton who will inevitably face off against Layton or Quick on the Liberty side, and Labor nominee Connor Branson. Our predictions: PRIMARY: Lean Ross; GENERAL: With Dupont – Lean Centre, With Ross/Jarrett – Liberty hold (Governor), Tossup (LG), Tossup (Legislature)

In the races in the Senate, neither are expected to be competitive. Sens. Sophia Delacruz and Amanda Quirius (both Liberty) are facing token opposition. Our prediction: Both Liberty hold (Seats 1 and 2)

DISTRICT SIX:

District 6’s only real elections lie with the Senate, as the districtwide elections occur during presidential years. In the case of Seat 1, held by senior Senator Raylin Kramer (Civic), it is expected to be a hard fought race as the Centre Party and Liberty Party are making hard pushes with candidates like Richie Batts and Rosa Lockwood, respectively. In Seat 2 is junior Senator Quentin Kennedy, who is considered enormously popular among District 6 residents and faces token opposition. Our predictions: Likely Civic (Seat 1 – Kramer), Civic hold (Seat 2 – Kennedy)

DISTRICT SEVEN:

District 7 only has Congressional elections this year. In the case of Senators Calvin Wilkie and Walter Briscoe, neither are expected to face any real opposition this round. Labor/Civic and Centre are appearing to save their candidates for a push on the governor’s mansion in the next presidential cycle. Our predictions: Liberty holds (Seats 1 and 2)

DISTRICT EIGHT:

In District 8, voters will elect districtwide officials and Congressional members.

In the case of the districtwide races, District 8 was spared the opportunity to see yet another rematch of the Felicia Ren vs. Elizabeth Steinbeck race. Steinbeck declined to run again following her appointment as Ambassador to the Council of Nations. Steinbeck famously unseated Ren against the odds seven years ago, only to be defeated by Ren herself four years later. The two then faced off against each other twice more as Ren and Steinbeck both unsuccessfully ran for president. Ren will seek reelection with district senator Serena Cartwright as her running mate to succeed outgoing lieutenant governor Cedric Wallace, who will run for the Senate. Liberty is set to nominate junior Senator Layla Folsom and representative Ethan McCoy in a powerful move to unseat the rivalry and attempt to consolidate Liberty’s power in District 8’s government, while Centre is nominating veteran Brady Bell and businesswoman Starla Attaway. In the legislature, Liberty is attempting to push Labor out as they have been for many years, but Centre is seeking to slip in to gain a plurality. Our predictions: Lean Liberty (Governor and LG), Tossup (Legislature)

The Senators of District 8 have always been noteworthy. For the past two election cycles, the Folsom sisters (Kendal and Layla) have dominated their respective elections. This remains the case of Seat 1, inhabited by Kendal Folsom. However, with Senator Layla Folsom declining to seek reelection to her Senate seat in favor of running for governor, the race for her seat has become a hot mess, with a large Liberty primary threatening the party’s chances of holding the seat in the face of Labor nominee Cedric Wallace and Centre nominee Flossie Maddox. Our predictions: Liberty hold (Seat 1 – Folsom), Tossup (Seat 2 – Open)

DISTRICT NINE:

Senatorial elections are the only highlights of the election season in District 9, with both seats deemed high targets for the Liberty Party and Centre Party.

In the race for Seat 1, currently held by Senator Iris Canstrom, is seen as a very hard target to topple; even with Canstrom being in a district not recently favoring Labor candidates, she’s very heavily entrenched and very heavily funded. She will likely face Martha Irvine, the speaker of the District 9 House, as the Liberty nominee and businesswoman Quinn Raines, the Centre nominee.

In the race for Seat 2, currently held by Senator Patricia Mann, is not so farfetched of a loss. Mann has made a series of controversial missteps in her first term as senator and is not very popular. As such, the race is seen more as one between Liberty nominee Floris Weaver and Centre nominee Clarke Randall.

In both cases, however, the Conservative Party stands to ruin both races. Though the party is not powerful any longer, the nominee of the party in any race typically garners around three percent, leaving many to wonder how this may spoil the election for Liberty or Centre. Our predictions: Likely Labor (Seat 1 – Canstrom), Tossup/Tilt Centre (Seat 2 – Mann)

DISTRICT TEN:

Panem’s tenth district will only have Congressional elections this year.

Currently, Seat 1 is gaining the most attention. Held by Jace Walters of the Labor Party, Labor is looking to keep this seat and is spending a ton on this race. However, Liberty has fielded District 10 Attorney General Howard Strickland and Centre has fielded representative Camryn Shelby, both high-profile candidates, in an attempt to knock off Walters.

In the case of Seat 2, Liberty holds the seat with Ginger Freedman, who isn’t considered much at risk, but at the same time isn’t the most popular. Labor has fielded Lindsey Richards, the Senate minority leader, to run against Freedman, while Centre has opted to avoid this race, nominating a token candidate. Our predictions: Tossup (Seat 1 – Walters), Lean Liberty (Seat 2 – Freedman)

DISTRICT ELEVEN:

District 11 only faces Congressional elections this year.

In the Senate races, Seat 1 is currently held by Liberty senator Michael Debroff and Seat 2 is held by Liberty senator Edith Delsont. Neither are considered competitive. Our predictions: Liberty hold (Seats 1 and 2)

DISTRICT TWELVE:

District 12 will elected districtwide offices this year as well as its Congressional members.

In the districtwide races, the Liberty Party has a definite hold on the district political structure. As such, the district’s makeup is Liberty from top to bottom. Governor Lynnette Cortez will be seeking reelection with appointed Lieutenant Governor Harriet Myers. The pair will not face a Red-Green Coalition challenger, but will face former Centre district representative Kiara Henderson and businessman Stan Warner. Our predictions: Liberty hold (Governor, LG, Legislature)

In the Senate races of District 12, neither are expected to be remotely competitive. Seat 1 is held by Senator Hanley Trent, a Liberty member, who also chairs the Senate Judiciary Committee and is considered a potential nominee to become attorney general or a Supreme Court justice should a vacancy occur. In Seat 2 is first-term Senator Lenora Quaker, who is growing in familiarity and popularity. Our predictions: Liberty hold (Seats 1 and 2)

DISTRICT THIRTEEN:

District 13 will elect both districtwide and Congressional offices this year.

In the districtwide races, it is expected that Liberty will hold all available seats. Governor Owen Talton will not seek reelection but rather run for the open Senate seat left by Ronald Brown, the new director of the Office of Management and Budget. Lieutenant Governor Allan Perry will seek the office of governor in order to run for reelection with district secretary of state Callista Abbott as his lieutenant gubernatorial running mate. Johanna Radclyffe will run to succeed Abbott as secretary of state. There is token opposition from the Civic and Centre Parties. Our predictions: Liberty hold (Governor, LG, Legislature)

In the races for the Senate, Seat 1 is held by Wendy Oppenheim and is likely to remain in her hands. Seat 2 is currently held by Woodrow Thorpe, who was nominated by Governor Talton to serve in outgoing Senator Ronald Brown’s place following the latter’s nomination to the OMB. Governor Talton will likely be the Liberty nominee for the seat, facing a primary against a couple district representatives and no-namers. Our predictions: Liberty hold (Seats 1 and 2)

DISTRICT FOURTEEN:

District 14 is a Liberty-dominated district that will elect districtwide and Congressional offices this election. Labor and Centre are seeking to make a broad impact here as they attempt to turn this Liberty stronghold into a tossup district.

In the districtwide elections, newly-inaugurated Governor Royce Melbourne will run for his first full term as governor with newly-appointed Lieutenant Governor Alain Durand. Melbourne became governor following the confirmation of previous Governor Rosalie Descoteaux to President Mellark’s cabinet as Secretary of the Treasury. The Liberty ticket will face the Labor ticket of House minority leader Gérard Fortier and district senator Fleurette Gardinier and the Centre ticket of businessman Léonide Michaud and district representative Lucette André. While the race will be high-profile, it’s expected to fall in Liberty’s favor once again. Our predictions: Likely Liberty (Governor and LG), Liberty hold (Legislature)

In the Senate elections, both seats are currently held by Liberty senators. In the case of Seat 1, that is Antonin Thibault. Thibault chairs the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and is considered a lock for reelection. With Seat 2 comes Valère Descoteaux, the brother of Secretary Descoteaux. The Descoteaux family’s popularity in District 14 is not in question, and neither is the senator’s seat. Our predictions: Liberty hold (Seats 1 and 2)

DISTRICT FIFTEEN:

District 15 will only elect Congressional candidates.

In District 15, the former Capitol, Liberty holds both Senate seats. In Seat 1 is Jarod Yancy, who will face Centre nominee Joseph Garnett. Though the race will be slightly competitive, Yancy is the heavy favorite. In Seat 2 is Darien Sanford, who will face Centre nominee Francis Roscoe. Sanford is expected to easily crush Roscoe. Our predictions: Likely Liberty (Seat 1 – Yancy), Liberty hold (Seat 2 – Sanford)

THE CAPITOL:

The Capitol will also hold elections this season for both the Executive Council and its Congressional seats.

In the race for the Executive Council, it is expected that Liberty and Centre will enter a fierce race for control. The Liberty slate of candidates is headed by current councilmember Dave Fletcher, who is seeking to replace current President pro tempore Celeste Armstrong. Centre’s candidate slate is led by Nora Paulson, another councilmember. Celeste Armstrong will run to succeed outgoing Chief Executive Benson Wesley and will face Centre nominee Jake Langley, an outgoing councilmember, in the general election. Our predictions: Tossup (Executive Council and Chief Executive)

In the race for Senate seats, both incumbents will be hotly challenged. For Senate Seat 1, incumbent Labor senator Zena Gates is at the top of Liberty and Centre’s lists to gain a seat this November. Liberty will nominate Chief Executive Benson Wesley while Centre will nominate Katherine Chapman. Wesley is considered the slight favorite at the moment. For Seat 2, incumbent Liberty senator Nikolas Travers will face Centre nominee Julie Roydon and Civic nominee James Tailor. Travers, as we see it, will likely skim by as usual. Our predictions: Lean Liberty (Seat 1 – Gates), Lean Liberty (Seat 2 – Travers)