INAUGURATION DAY: President Mellark, Vice President Tarson sworn in for second term

Today marked the second inauguration of Panem’s fifth president, Peeta Mellark (Liberty Party-District 12), and Panem’s sixth vice president, Rebecca Tarson (Liberty Party-District 12). The pair were reelected in the closest federal elections in Panem history. Below are some notable results from this past election:


  • President: Peeta Mellark. Mellark was reelected as president in a tight election that required the nation’s first federal runoff election for the presidency. Mellark received 51 electoral votes in the first round, which was 18 short of the 69 needed to achieve an outright win, and 34.23 percent of the popular vote. In the second round, Mellark narrowly achieved an outright win over former Gov. Kaitlyn Jones, the Conservative nominee, with exactly 69 electoral votes to Jones’ 67. The popular vote percentage for the final round was 52.02 percent Mellark to 47.98 percent Jones.
  • Vice President: Rebecca Tarson. Tarson was reelected as vice president in an even tighter election than the President’s, requiring a federal runoff election that resulted in an electoral vote tie that had to be broken by determination of the popular vote winner. Tarson received 61 electoral votes in the first round, which was 8 short of the 69 needed to achieve an outright majority in the first round, and 36 percent of the popular vote. In the second round, Tarson tied the electoral college with Centre nominee Rep. Matthias Christian, which required a determination of the winner by popular vote. As the final results reflected a lead for Tarson of 51.58 percent to Christian’s 48.42 percent, Tarson was reelected vice president.
  • In the districtwide elections, four governorships, three lieutenant governorships, and two district legislatures flipped parties, with the following elected this election:
    • Governors: Cooper McPharlin (Conservative-D1), Donald Beck (Centre-D6), Glenn Beckham (Conservative-D7), Dillan Christian (Centre-D10)
    • Lt. Governors: Haywood Jackson (Conservative-D1), Lydia Rome (Conservative-D7), Cyrus Westley (Centre-D10)
    • District Legislatures: District 1 Legislature (Liberty –> Conservative), District 10 Legislature (Liberty –> Centre)
  • In the race for control of the House, the composition of the Panem House of Representatives now is 96 Liberty members, 54 Centre members, 25 Conservative members, 18 Labor members, 6 Civic members, and 1 independent member who will caucus with Liberty. Liberty has lost the majority in the House, but has formed a leadership coalition with the Conservative Party in order to maintain control of the chamber. The leaders of each party in the House are;
    • Presumptive Speaker of the House of Representatives: Constantin Richelieu (Liberty-D14)
    • House Majority Leader (thus, Liberty Party leader): Miranda O’Neal (Liberty-D13)
    • House Majority Whip (thus, Conservative Party leader): Kari Lyles (Conservative-D10)
    • Leader of the Opposition (thus, Centre Party leader): Daniel Hutton (Centre-D15)
    • Labor leader: Teraton Wendle (D2)
    • Civic leader: Georgia Landon (D13)
  • Following the resignation of D7 Governor Mason Wallace, Patty Newsom became governor of District 7 until the inauguration of Glenn Beckham.
  • If the nominations of President-elect Mellark are confirmed, the following will become governor:
    • Harriet Myers, District 12
    • Marshall Risinger, District 15

Vice President-elect Rebecca Tarson (Liberty-D12) arrived first, as tradition holds, coming in her motorcade from 1 Corsican Circle, the official residence of the Vice President. Also in the motorcade was Second Gentleman Nathaniel Tarson. Vice President-elect Tarson ascended the steps of the Capitol towards the center dais, where she would be inaugurated. For the first time in Panem’s history, the oath of office was delivered to a federal official by a female justice. Chief Justice Francine Ashland Brewster administered the oath of office to the Vice President-elect, making her formally Vice President once again.

Due to a technicality in the Panem Constitution, the Vice President-elect always is sworn in prior to the presidential inauguration. This is due to the possible circumstance of the president’s death prior to the vice presidential inauguration, which would hence cause a constitutional crisis. Therefore, upon inauguration, the Vice President becomes Acting President for at least two hours until the presidential inauguration.

And thus, Vice President-elect Tarson became Vice President and acting President Tarson.

The president-elect’s motorcade left Stonehaven (also known as the White House or the Presidential Mansion) for the inauguration. In the motorcade were President-elect Peeta Mellark, former President and First Lady Katniss Everdeen, and their child, Delia Mellark. The three exited the motorcade and moved into the Capitol, where they began the traditional walk through the Capitol to the outer steps for the inauguration.

President-elect Mellark and First Lady Everdeen once again reprised their positions in one of the most famous images in political history; two presidents, walking together to the inauguration of one. This time, however, Delia Mellark was present. At the top of the steps waiting was Chief Justice Francine Ashland Brewster. She represented the starkest difference in the presidential backdrop of the inauguration, but also represented one of Mellark’s key accomplishments. Once Ashland Brewster administered the oath, the crowd ruptured with applause.

Following his oath, President Peeta Mellark came to the podium to deliver his inaugural address:

“Four years ago, we embarked on a journey that was destined to be long and treacherous. We faced a devastating economy, a dangerous world, and a crumbling country. I promised to you four years ago on these very steps that we would return to being a guiding light for the world to follow, that we would end the discord in our country and bring about harmony, faith, and hope. I pray that these goals have been at least partially accomplished during my first term. Together, we accomplished more than we ever thought possible, and now it is time to move towards a grander and greater second term. As we have restored the light to our nation, we now must lead the world. We cannot sit by idly and allow for global disruption. We must act for freedom, for our shared ideals. We must decisively act to ensure the fundamental justice we know here in Panem is shown to all of mankind. We have a duty to the rest of the world to prove that Panem is willing to step up to the job and lead this wonderful world.” — President Peeta Mellark (Liberty Party-District 12)

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ELECTION DAY: Fifth presidential election predicted to be closest in modern history, may result in runoff

Panem is set to vote in its fifth regularly scheduled executive and congressional election cycle, which sees two high profile races for President and Vice President while the left wing of Panem politics is seeking to make a big impact in the House of Representatives this cycle. Also included on the ballot today are multiple districtwide elections that could result in a greater impact.


Here are our predictions for the executive elections this year.


Overall amount of electoral votes: 136 electoral votes

Amount needed to win the election (must have a majority): 69 electoral votes

District 1: 11 electoral votes – Tossup/Tossup 

District 2: 10 electoral votes – Lean Liberty/Tilt Liberty

District 3: 8 electoral votes – Lean Civic/Lean Civic

District 4: 12 electoral votes – Tossup/Tossup

District 5: 3 electoral votes – Tilt Conservative/Tilt Conservative

District 6: 5 electoral votes – Tossup/Tilt Civic

District 7: 7 electoral votes – Tilt Conservative/Tossup

District 8: 10 electoral votes – Tilt Centre/Tilt Centre

District 9: 3 electoral votes – Tilt Liberty/Lean Liberty

District 10: 8 electoral votes – Lean Liberty/Lean Centre

District 11: 8 electoral votes – Lean Conservative/Tossup

District 12: 5 electoral votes – Safe Liberty/Safe Liberty

District 13: 13 electoral votes – Safe Liberty/Safe Liberty

District 14: 20 electoral votes – Safe Liberty/Safe Liberty

District 15: 10 electoral votes – Tossup/Tossup

Capitol: 3 electoral votes – Tossup/Tossup

Overall Safe/Likely:

Mellark – 38, Tarson – 38 (Liberty)

Roydon – 0, Christian – 0 (Centre)

Canstrom – 0, Walters – 0 (Labor)

Newsom – 0, Kennedy – 0 (Civic)

Jones – 0, Sutherland – 0 (Conservative)

With Leans:

Mellark – 56, Tarson – 41 (Liberty)

Newsom – 8, Kennedy – 8 (Civic)

Jones – 8, Sutherland – 0 (Conservative)

Roydon – 0, Christian – 8 (Centre)

Canstrom – 0, Walters – 0 (Labor)

With Tilts:

Mellark – 59, Tarson – 51 (Liberty)

Jones – 18, Sutherland – 3 (Conservative)

Roydon – 10, Christian – 18 (Centre)

Newsom – 8, Kennedy – 13 (Civic)

Canstrom – 0, Walters – 0 (Labor)

TOSSUP (PRESIDENT) – 41

TOSSUP (VP) – 51

 


In the gubernatorial elections, we predict the following:


District 1: Governor Zane Tempore (Liberty) faces a tough national climate and a fierce competition against district senator Shannon Barker (Labor)activist Cooper McPharlin (Conservative), and representative Adrianne Horsfall (Centre).

District 6: Governor Festus Ashland (Liberty) is expected to have a tighter-than-expected race against Centre nominee Rep. Donald Beck, Labor nominee Rep. Haylie Shepard, and Conservative nominee district representative Annise Byrd.

District 7: Governor Mason Wallace (Liberty) is expected to win here despite the national tossup status of his district in the executive elections. He faces Conservative actor Glenn Beckham and Labor district senator Connor Howe.

District 9: Governor Trenton Escavel (Liberty) faces off here against Civic nominee Sawyer Coburn and Labor nominee Rep. Carson Delaney. Due to the left-wing split, it’s expected that Escavel will coast to victory.

District 10: Governor Xavier Hansen (Liberty) faces off against Labor nominee Suzanne Reed and Centre nominee Rep. Dillan Christian, who is the brother of Centre VP nominee Matthias Christian, in a marquee tossup race.

District 11: Governor Vance Fletcher (Liberty) faces serious opposition in former Secretary of Global Development Jack Oliver (Conservative)district representative Ashton North (Labor), district senator David Carson (Centre), and businessman Walter Rigby (Civic) . Due to the high amount of candidates, the race is a true tossup. It is also the only districtwide election in which every party is represented this cycle.


In the Congressional elections, we predict the following:

The composition we expect is 90 seats for the Liberty Party, 52 seats for the Centre Party (making them the official opposition), 20 seats for the Labor Party, 12 seats for the Conservative Party, 6 seats for the Civic Party, and 1 seat for an independent representative that will caucus with the Liberty Party. As of right now, we have no way to predict the outcomes of 34 seats; they are all true tossups. This means that in order for either side to gain power, they will need to secure their majority with the remaining 19 seats. As shown above, Liberty’s amount of seats matches exactly the number of seats of other parties. Liberty must secure 101 seats to have an outright majority, meaning to do so, they will need at least ten tossup seats along with the predicted independent seat. For the opposition to finally become the majority, it is a much more daunting task; it would require the other four parties to coalesce in a grand coalition and then win ten more seats across them. While gaining a majority of seats for the other four parties together is a easier task for them than for the Liberty Party, it’s very unlikely that the Conservatives would ever enter a leadership deal with Labor or Civic. It’s much more likely that Liberty will strike a deal with the Conservatives in order to keep their grasp on power. Our official prediction: Liberty will remain in control through a coalition with the Conservatives and a single independent representative.


Here’s an overview of the main events of President Mellark’s first term and the current election cycle.

  • President Peeta Mellark became the first presidential spouse to be elected president as well as the first senator to ascend to the presidency directly from the upper chamber of Congress.
  • President Mellark and Vice President Rebecca Tarson were swept into office on a massive Liberty Party wave following massive corruption in the Canth administration and Conservative Party.
  • Chief Justice Sean Wheeler announced his retirement and President Mellark nominated Associate Justice Francine Ashland Brewster to serve as the second Chief Justice. She was confirmed by the Senate.
  • To replace Brewster as Associate Justice, President Mellark nominated Governor Cynthia Thompson, who was confirmed by the Senate.
  • President Mellark lays out his 100-day plan, which included measures to expand economic growth, reform Panem education, and protect Panem citizens from the Oceanian Empire.
  • The Labor and Civic Parties formed the Red-Green Coalition in the Panem Congress in order to consolidate the left wing of Panem’s legislators.
  • President Mellark is shot by an assassin in the Capitol, making Vice President Tarson the acting president of Panem. The Oceanian Empire took credit for the attempt on Mellark’s life.
  • Following his recovery, President Mellark returned to active duty as president and formally requested from Congress a declaration of war against the Oceanian Empire. Congress voted to approve the war.
  • An allied coalition conducted a large-scale invasion of Oceania to neuter the OE threat, causing Oceania to suspend foreign relations with Panem.
  • President Mellark’s tax cuts and tax reform plan becomes law, completing a key promise.
  • Press Secretary Polaris Septrix retires and is replaced by Melanie DeFrancis.
  • First Lady Katniss Everdeen gave birth to her first child, Delia.
  • President Mellark made his first foreign trip to wartorn Oceania to visit the troops in the region and to speak with Oceanian officials.
  • Vice President Tarson cast her first tie-breaker vote in the Senate over a bill dealing with a no-fly list. The bill passed 17-16 with Tarson’s vote, and was then signed by the President.
  • Following chief of staff Harold Cersisa’s decision to run for governor of District 4, press secretary Melanie DeFrancis becomes President Mellark’s chief of staff. She is replaced as press secretary by Janet Wesson.
  • Cecelia Paylor declined to run for president again, opening up the Civic primary.
  • Senator Patrick Newsom declared his run for the presidency while former Senator Sadie Myers and Governor Bertram Spellings both declined to run.
  • Former Governor Felicia Ren declined to run for president again, opening the field for the Labor Party.
  • Labor Representative Sylvenia Denton filibustered President Mellark’s education bill in a controversial speech. She then attended a gala days later and spat on President Mellark and First Lady Katniss Everdeen. Denton was later censured for her actions.
  • Former Civic VP nominee Samuel Trenton announced his run for the presidency.
  • British Prime Minister Edith Felton, a Conservative, became the first foreign dignitary to visit the nation of Panem.
  • President Mellark nominated his Solicitor General, Sherri Holmes, to serve on the 7th Circuit Court of Appeals. She was later confirmed by the Senate. Holmes was replaced by D7 Attorney General Jacqueline Warner.
  • President Mellark and Vice President Tarson jointly announced their runs for reelection.
  • Former Secretaries Joan Kindred and Walter Delta, Senator Iris Canstrom, and controversial Representative Sylvenia Denton all enter the Labor primary for president.
  • Ambassador to the Council of Nations Elizabeth Steinbeck declined another run for president and endorsed President Mellark.
  • The Grecorussian Civil War begins with Greece declaring its independence.
  • Robert F. Maxwell, Kurtis Pierce, and Kaitlyn Jones announce their intention to run for the Conservative nomination for president. Lynn Germaine, Jack Oliver, and Delia Sutherland announced their runs for vice president.
  • Thomas Stemp, Ophelie Murray, and Teraton Wendle all announced their runs for the Labor VP nomination.
  • Malcolm Lowell, an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court, dies aged 83. President Mellark first offers the nomination to Solicitor General Jacqueline Warner, who declines. The President then nominates Alexandra West, the attorney general, who is then confirmed by the Senate.
  • Alexandra West is replaced as Attorney General by Senator Calvin Wilkie, who is also approved by the Senate. Governor Mason Wallace of District 7 then appoints Solicitor General Jacqueline Warner to the Senate.
  • Former Attorney General Karina Erickson, after much lobbying, accepts the President’s nomination to serve as Solicitor General. She is approved by the Senate.
  • Grecorussian nuclear weapons are reported missing. This prompts President Mellark to seek permission from Congress to intervene in Greece, which Congress approves.
  • Senator Julie Roydon announces her run for the Centre Party nomination for president. Roydon became the presumptive nominee as she remained unopposed.
  • Greek rebels threaten the Grecorussian Empire with “nuclear destruction”.
  • The first day of Panem’s involvement in Greece leaves 23 Panem soldiers dead.
  • Antonin Dupond becomes the next president of France in a tight election.
  • The Civic presidential debate sets a record for primary debate viewership.
  • A spat between Robert F. Maxwell and Kurtis Pierce causes the cancellation of the sole Conservative presidential debate. In response, former Governor Kaitlyn Jones skyrockets in popularity following her successful interview in place of the debate.
  • President Mellark announces the withdrawal of troops from Greece following the retrieval of lost nuclear weapons.
  • The primaries of the Labor, Civic, and Conservative Parties occur, resulting in the nomination of Iris Canstrom for president for the Labor Party, Patrick Newsom for president for the Civic Party, Kaitlyn Jones for president for the Conservative Party, and Delia Sutherland for vice president for the Conservative Party. The Labor nomination for vice president is inconclusive and is determined to go to an unbound balloting process at the Labor National Convention.
  • Centre nominee Julie Roydon announces D10 Representative Matthias Christian as her vice presidential running mate. The two are nominated at the Centre National Convention.
  • Conservative nominee Kaitlyn Jones declined the endorsements of former President Rick Canth and previous VP nominee Jackson Canth and declared them to be “persona non grata” in the Conservative Party.
  • President Mellark and Vice President Tarson are nominated for a second term at the Liberty National Convention.
  • Senator Iris Canstrom officially becomes the Labor nominee for president while Senator Jace Walters becomes the surprise nominee for vice president after multiple rounds of balloting.
  • Civic nominee Patrick Newsom selects Senator Quentin Kennedy as his vice presidential running mate. The pair are nominated at the Civic National Convention.
  • Former governor Kaitlyn Jones and former secretary Delia Sutherland are officially nominated as the executive candidate ticket of the Conservative Party at the Conservative National Convention.
  • President Mellark and Vice President Tarson suspend campaigning to deal with Hurricane Amelia, the most catastrophic natural disaster to affect Panem in a century. An aid package is approved for affected areas.
  • The vice presidential debate was ruled to be a win for Vice President Tarson and Centre nominee Matthias Christian.
  • The presidential debate was a landslide win for President Mellark, with Centre nominee Julie Roydon and Conservative nominee Kaitlyn Jones also scoring high marks.
  • Former independent VP candidate and political pundit Pauline Crystal decides to endorse President Mellark and Vice President Tarson for a second term.

UPDATE: We have our first results of the night.

In the gubernatorial races, we can announce the following:

  • D1: With 34 percent in, Governor Zane Tempore is in third place behind Conservative activist Cooper McPharlin, who is in first, and Centre representative Adrianne Horsfall, who is in second. It is highly likely that this governorship will once again flip this cycle.
  • D6: Governor Festus Ashland is currently leading the field with 39 percent of the vote in, with Centre nominee Donald Beck close behind.
  • D7: Despite what was predicted, this election has officially become too close to call with 40 percent of the vote in. Governor Mason Wallace is currently leading Conservative actor Glenn Beckham by only half of a percentage point.
  • D9: Governor Trenton Escavel has been reelected what is predicted to be a twenty-point margin. Final margin was 51 percent Escavel, 25 percent Delaney, and 24 percent Coburn.
  • D10: Though this race was expected to be competitive, it appears that Governor Xavier Hansen will be looking for a new job in January as Representative Dillan Christian, the brother of Centre VP nominee Matthias Christian, has been elected governor. He is predicted to defeat Hansen by approximately four percentage points. Final margin was 39 percent Christian, 35 percent Hansen, and 26 percent Reed.
  • D11: In the most competitive race of the night, Centre nominee David Carson barely leads the field, with Governor Vance Fletcher right behind him.

We are not ready to project the House yet.

UPDATE 2: We can now project further gubernatorial races.

  • D1: Governor Zane Tempore will be replaced by Conservative activist Cooper McPharlin in January. Final margin was 40 percent McPharlin, 36 percent Horsfall, and 24 percent Tempore. Centre nominee Horsfall, however, will return to the House due to her reelection. 
  • D6: Centre Representative Donald Beck has been elected governor in a squeaker over Governor Festus Ashland. Final margin was 29 percent Beck, 28 percent Ashland, 23 percent Byrd, and 20 percent Shepard.
  • D7: In an upset, Conservative actor Glenn Beckham has been elected governor over incumbent Mason Wallace. Final margin was 43 percent Beckham, 42 percent Wallace, and 15 percent Howe.
  • D11: Despite the competitiveness of the district, Governor Vance Fletcher beats the odds to remain governor of District 11. The final margin was 23 percent Fletcher, 22.5 percent Carson, 21.5 percent Oliver, 20 percent Rigby, and 13 percent North.

This brings the composition of governors to 11 Liberty governors, 2 Centre governors, and 2 Conservative governors.

The current House seat count lies at 91 Liberty, 52 Centre, 18 Labor, 6 Civic, 14 Conservative, 1 Independent, and 18 seats that are too close to call.

We can now begin our coverage of the presidential and VP elections.


Overall amount of electoral votes: 136 electoral votes

Amount needed to win the election (must have a majority): 69 electoral votes

District 1: 11 electoral votes – Too close to call (32% Mellark, 31% Roydon, 27% Jones, 5% Canstrom, 5% Newsom), Too close to call (34% Tarson, 33% Sutherland, 27% Christian, 4% Walters, 2% Kennedy)

District 2: 10 electoral votes – Mellark carries with 36%. Too close to call (31% Tarson, 29% Sutherland, 28% Christian, 8% Kennedy, 4% Walters)

District 3: 8 electoral votes – Newsom carries with 39%. Kennedy carries with 34%.

District 4: 12 electoral votes – Too close to call (24% Mellark, 24% Roydon, 23% Jones, 17% Canstrom, 13% Newsom), Too close to call (25% Tarson, 25% Christian, 25% Jones, 15% Walters, 10% Kennedy)

District 5: 3 electoral votes – Jones carries with 32%Sutherland carries with 33%.

District 6: 5 electoral votes – Too close to call (28% Jones, 26% Mellark, 26% Roydon, 12% Newsom, 8% Canstrom), Too close to call (27% Christian, 27% Tarson, 25% Sutherland, 15% Kennedy, 6% Walters)

District 7: 7 electoral votes – Too early to call.

District 8: 10 electoral votes – Too early to call.

District 9: 3 electoral votes – Too early to call.

District 10: 8 electoral votes – Too early to call.

District 11: 8 electoral votes – Too early to call.

District 12: 5 electoral votes – Too early to call.

District 13: 13 electoral votes – Too early to call.

District 14: 20 electoral votes – Too early to call.

District 15: 10 electoral votes – Too early to call.

Capitol: 3 electoral votes – Too early to call.

Current presidential EV tallies:

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 10 EVs

Patrick Newsom (Civic) – 8 EVs

Kaitlyn Jones (Conservative) – 3 EVs

Iris Canstrom (Labor) – 0 EVs

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 0 EVs

Current vice presidential EV tallies:

Quentin Kennedy (Civic) – 8 EVs

Delia Sutherland (Conservative) – 3 EVs

Rebecca Tarson (Liberty) – 0 EVs

Jace Walters (Labor) – 0 EVs

Matthias Christian (Centre) – 0 EVs

UPDATE 3: We can now call more districts in the executive elections.

Overall amount of electoral votes: 136 electoral votes

Amount needed to win the election (must have a majority): 69 electoral votes

District 1: 11 electoral votes – Jones carries with 33%, Sutherland carries with 32%.

District 2: 10 electoral votes – Sutherland carries with 31%.

District 4: 12 electoral votes – Too close to call (24% Mellark, 24% Roydon, 23% Jones, 15% Canstrom, 15% Newsom), Too close to call (26% Tarson, 25% Christian, 25% Jones, 14% Walters, 10% Kennedy)

District 6: 5 electoral votes – Jones carries with 29%. Christian carries with 26%.

District 7: 7 electoral votes – Jones carries with 30%Sutherland carries with 29%

District 8: 10 electoral votes – Roydon carries with 30%. Christian carries with 29%.

District 9: 3 electoral votes – Mellark carries with 37%. Tarson carries with 34%.

District 10: 8 electoral votes – Roydon carries with 29%. Christian carries with 34%.

District 11: 8 electoral votes – Too early to call.

District 12: 5 electoral votes – Too early to call.

District 13: 13 electoral votes – Too early to call.

District 14: 20 electoral votes – Too early to call.

District 15: 10 electoral votes – Too early to call.

Capitol: 3 electoral votes – Too early to call.

Current presidential EV tallies:

Kaitlyn Jones (Conservative) – 26 EVs

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 18 EVs

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 13 EVs

Patrick Newsom (Civic) – 8 EVs

Iris Canstrom (Labor) – 0 EVs

Current vice presidential EV tallies:

Delia Sutherland (Conservative) – 31 EVs

Matthias Christian (Centre) – 23 EVs

Quentin Kennedy (Civic) – 8 EVs

Rebecca Tarson (Liberty) – 3 EVs

Jace Walters (Labor) – 0 EVs

We also have an update on the House elections. The composition of the House is now 94 Liberty, 54 Centre, 23 Conservative, 18 Labor, 6 Civic, 1 Independent, and 4 seats that are too close to call. We can now project that the Liberty Party will remain the largest party in the House, but will not be able to form an outright majority.

UPDATE 4: We can now call more districts in the executive elections.

Overall amount of electoral votes: 136 electoral votes

Amount needed to win the election (must have a majority): 69 electoral votes

District 4: 12 electoral votes – Jones carries with 26%, Tarson carries with 26%. 

District 11: 8 electoral votes – Jones carries with 38%, Tarson carries with 34%.

District 12: 5 electoral votes – Mellark carries with 79%, Tarson carries with 78%.

District 13: 13 electoral votes – Mellark carries with 45%, Tarson carries with 40%.

District 14: 20 electoral votes – Too early to call.

District 15: 10 electoral votes – Too early to call.

Capitol: 3 electoral votes – Too early to call.

Current presidential EV tallies:

Kaitlyn Jones (Conservative) – 46 EVs

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 31 EVs

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 18 EVs

Patrick Newsom (Civic) – 8 EVs

Iris Canstrom (Labor) – 0 EVs

Current vice presidential EV tallies:

Rebecca Tarson (Liberty) – 41 EVs

Delia Sutherland (Conservative) – 31 EVs

Matthias Christian (Centre) – 23 EVs

Quentin Kennedy (Civic) – 8 EVs

Jace Walters (Labor) – 0 EVs

We also have a final update on the House elections. The composition of the House will be 96 Liberty, 54 Centre, 25 Conservative, 18 Labor, 6 Civic, and 1 Independent who will caucus with Liberty. This means that it will be up to Constantin Richelieu and his leadership team to come to an agreement with the Conservatives in order to govern. Otherwise, Liberty will be governing in a plurality where they will need to continuously pick off other party’s members to get legislation passed. Kari Lyles has expressed interest in governing with Liberty, however, on the condition that the two parties enter a deal that spreads power equally.

UPDATE 5: We can now call more districts in the executive elections.

Overall amount of electoral votes: 136 electoral votes

Amount needed to win the election (must have a majority): 69 electoral votes

District 14: 20 electoral votes – Mellark carries with 46%, Tarson carries with 44%.

District 15: 10 electoral votes – Roydon carries with 36%, Christian carries with 35%.

Capitol: 3 electoral votes – Roydon carries with 30%, Christian carries with 29%.

Current presidential EV tallies:

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 51 EVs, 34.23% PV

Kaitlyn Jones (Conservative) – 46 EVs, 29.55% PV

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 31 EVs, 20.02% PV

Patrick Newsom (Civic) – 8 EVs, 9.34% PV

Iris Canstrom (Labor) – 0 EVs, 6.86% PV

Current vice presidential EV tallies:

Rebecca Tarson (Liberty) – 61 EVs, 36.00% PV

Matthias Christian (Centre) – 36 EVs, 25.96% PV

Delia Sutherland (Conservative) – 31 EVs, 21.20% PV

Quentin Kennedy (Civic) – 8 EVs, 9.89% PV

Jace Walters (Labor) – 0 EVs, 6.95% PV

We can now officially say that both the presidential and vice presidential elections will be heading to a runoff. Next month, President Peeta Mellark will face off against former Governor Kaitlyn Jones for the presidency. Meanwhile, Vice President Rebecca Tarson will face off against Representative Matthias Christian for the vice presidency. 

ANALYSIS: Tonight was undoubtedly a blow for the Liberty Party. While they certainly gained momentum in the last weeks of the campaign, the President and Vice President couldn’t seal the deal outright and will campaign another month for the runoff election. It’s anyone’s guess how those elections will go; runoffs have never occurred before in a general election scenario, and it’s likely that it will be low turnout. It all depends on who shows up.

Meanwhile, Liberty suffered greatly down the ballot. Out of six districtwide elections, Liberty won two, the Conservatives gained two seats, and Centre picked up two seats. This is a massive electoral shift for the nation as four of the fifteen districts just moved away from Liberty governance. That makes a third of governors that now belong to a party other than Liberty, the highest in a very long time. And then comes the House of Representatives, where Liberty lost their majority today. While it appears that they will still be able to govern, it’s telling that the largest gains came for the Centre and Conservative Parties. The Conservatives now are able to serve as kingmakers, increasing their power after being forced into isolation last election.

UPDATE 5: Senator Patrick Newsom and Senator Iris Canstrom both conceded the election with their running mates.

“While this certainly is not the result we hoped for, we still have hope tonight for the nation of Panem. Nothing has changed about our people, about our resiliency, and our passion for justice and equality. In the coming days, we as leaders will make a decision on who we will support in this runoff. While we won’t be announcing tonight if we will make a public endorsement, you will all be the first to know if we do decide to do so. We congratulate President Mellark, Governor Jones, Vice President Tarson, and Representative Christian on a hard fought race and congratulate them on their advancement to the next round.” — Senator Patrick Newsom (Civic-D3) and Senator Quentin Kennedy (Civic-D6)

“It is our hope for Panem that each of you decides to keep making progress. We didn’t win tonight. That is true. However, that doesn’t mean that we stop pursuing our ideal nation. Each of us still has a chance to make an impact. We congratulate the President, the Vice President, Representative Christian, and Governor Jones on their wins tonight. We look forward to a competitive and productive runoff election that will properly suit the people of Panem.” — Senator Iris Canstrom (Labor-D9) and Senator Jace Walters (Labor-D10)

President Mellark and Vice President Tarson spoke at their victory rally in District 12:

“This is undoubtedly an exciting night. While we didn’t win outright, that doesn’t mean that we’ve lost. It means that we get yet another chance to bring our message to the citizens of Panem, to show that Liberty policies work for each of you, and that we are the best candidates for our jobs. It’s not over yet, my friends. The journey has scarcely begun. Let’s travel this path back to the White House together and continue making our nation great.” — President Peeta Mellark and Vice President Rebecca Tarson (both Liberty-D12)

Governor Jones and Representative Christian spoke at their victory rallies:

“What an amazing night this has been! I’m honored for each vote I have received and the chance to compete for so many more. When we began this campaign, the pundits announced that no Conservative candidate would ever be near the presidency for decades. They even said that Conservative candidates for Congress and for governorships stood no chance because of the scandals that we have endured! Let me announce something tonight: the reports of the Conservative Party’s death have been greatly exaggerated. Tonight, we saw twenty-five Conservative representatives sent to Congress and two new Conservative governors and lieutenant governors. And of course, I have been given the chance to go to the runoff for president of the Republic of Panem. Our momentum is only beginning.” — former Governor Kaitlyn Jones (Conservative-D11)

“Who would have thought that I would be standing here tonight? I would like to thank my wife, my children, and Senator Roydon for this incredible experience. I could not have done this without each and every one of you, and each and every voter that went out and voted for me. It is time that we return accountability to our government, and that is why each of us needs to head back to the ballot box in a month to ensure that we do just that. We have been given a unique chance to reform our government. Let’s not waste it.” — Representative Matthias Christian (Centre-D10)

Both Senator Roydon and Secretary Sutherland conceded over phone and spoke to a small gathering that did not include press coverage.

 

Hurricane Amelia, only miles from landfall, strengthens further; Congress approves aid package unanimously

Hurricane Amelia has strengthened even further as it approaches landfall in District 4, according to the Panem Weather Service.

The storm, previously recorded as having a wind speed of 175 mph 1-minute sustained winds and 899 millibars, now has been recorded at a 1-minute sustained wind speed of 200 mph and a minimum pressure of 872 millibars.

“It is without a doubt that this hurricane is incredibly dangerous, and should any citizen remain in the path of such a storm, they will die. If you haven’t evacuated, leave immediately,” said the Panem Weather Service in their advisory on the system.

It is predicted that Hurricane Amelia will make landfall later tonight without further intensification, but the Panem Weather Service says the threat does not end with landfall. They are urging surrounding districts, specifically Districts 9, 10, and 11, to be prepared for torrential rain, destructive winds, and higher threats of tornadic events.

Congress, in other news, has unanimously passed an aid package through both houses of the national legislature to the tune of $10.2 billion as requested by President Mellark. The money will go to District 4 specifically, with potential other aid packages considered as needed.

Mellark and Tarson rush back to Capitol to manage reaction to hurricane crisis

President Peeta Mellark and Vice President Rebecca Tarson were forced to take a break from the campaign trail to return to the Capitol as a massive hurricane bore down on the coast of District 4.

The hurricane, tentatively nicknamed Hurricane Amelia, forced the largest peacetime evacuation in Panem’s history as District 4 residents flooded away from the monster storm. The hurricane was caught on military satellites as it was gaining strength in the Gulf of Mexico, with hovercraft inspecting the storm after it was discovered.

Hurricanes, though a major problem before the Dark Days, have not been common since World War III. Scientists believe that this is due to the effects of the widespread nuclear warfare, causing a rapid decrease in temperatures worldwide and ultimately impacting the climate of the planet. In fact, this is predicted to be the first landfall on the continent of North America since Coriolanus Snow (the first) established his rule over Panem after World War III. Due to the infrequency of such storms, prediction centers have not been needed.

Hurricanes, for those in Panem who may not be aware, are described as “rapidly rotating storm systems characterized by a low-pressure center, a closed low-level atmospheric circulation, strong winds, and a spiral arrangement of thunderstorms that produce heavy rain.”

As it currently stands, “Hurricane Amelia” has a 1-minute sustained wind speed of 145 miles per hour with a minimum pressure of 924 millibars. “Amelia” sits around 350 miles off the coastline of District 4 and is anticipated to make landfall as a very strong hurricane within the next week.

Secretary Amy Oaksmith, head of the Department of the Interior, is predicting that the damage from this storm will be catastrophic. “There is no reason that any citizen of District 4 should remain in the path of this storm. They need to leave, because the repercussions of not leaving are fatal. Belongings can be replaced, but human lives cannot.” The Governor of District 4, Harold Cersisa, has issued a mandatory evacuation for the entire coastline and inland areas that could be affected.

CONVENTION WRAP-UP: Civic convention unifies, Conservatives rally, and Centre begins its landmark journey

Today we will be wrapping up coverage of the final three conventions due to their overlapping timelines.


CIVIC CONVENTION:

Senator Quentin Kennedy accepts the VP nomination of the Civic Party.

Civic Party leaders and delegates met in District 6 to designate Senators Patrick Newsom (D3) and Quentin Kennedy (D6) as their standard-bearers for the upcoming election.

The convention served as a source of party unity following what was a brutally-fought primary for the presidency. Samuel Trenton, the defeated rival of now-nominee Patrick Newsom, introduced the senator and called him “one of the greatest leaders in this country’s history.” Former President and previous party leader Cecelia Paylor lauded Newsom and Kennedy with praise, declaring them “just what the party and this country needs at this tumultuous time.” The speaker list is below.

Speakers (Night One): 

  • Fannie Bush, actress (D2)
  • Kyra Close, candidate for representative (D1)
  • Nic Martel, candidate for representative (D7)
  • Walter Rigby, candidate for governor (D11)
  • Sawyer Coburn, businessman and candidate for governor (D9)
  • Raylin Kramer, senator (D6)
  • Quentin Kennedy, senator and nominee for vice president (D6)

Speakers (Night Two): 

  • Amelia Vance, representative (D10)
  • Valerie Wilkins, representative (D6)
  • Tom Dawkins, representative (D3)
  • Sadie Myers, former senator (D3)
  • Ivy Spellings, First Lady of District 3 (D3)
  • Bertram Spellings, governor (D3)
  • Russell Paylor, former First Gentleman of Panem (D8)
  • Cecelia Paylor, national security advisor, former President, and party founder (D8)
  • Samuel Trenton, former Cabinet secretary, former Speaker, previous VP nominee, and candidate for president (Capitol)
  • Patrick Newsom, senator and nominee for president (D3)

CONSERVATIVE CONVENTION:

Marvel Wheeler, D4 district representative.

Meeting in District 4, the Conservative Party convened their third quadrennial party convention. This year, however, brought a convention with new party leaders and a brighter picture for the Conservatives in comparison to last convention, where Rick Canth and Jackson Canth were nominated amid major disapproval and mass walkouts that resulted in an independent ticket.

Conservatives rallied around former Gov. Kaitlyn Jones and her running mate, former Sec. Delia Sutherland, declaring them “the only sane choices in this insane political world.” Notable absences included the Canths, but for good reason: Jones and Sutherland categorically denied their endorsements and declared the pair to be “persona non grata” in Conservative circles for their illegal actions. The speaker list is below.

Speakers (Day One):

  • Annise Byrd, district representative and candidate for governor (D6)
  • Marvel Wheeler, district representative (D4)
  • Cooper McPharlin, activist and candidate for governor (D1)
  • Regina Durant, businesswoman and candidate for representative (D13)
  • Julian Gibson, district representative (D6)
  • Belinda Copley, representative and former LG (D6)
  • Lynn Germaine, former Secretary of Intelligence (D4)
  • Robert F. Maxwell, businessman (D4)
  • Delia Sutherland, former Secretary of the Interior and nominee for VP (D4)

Speakers (Day Two):

  • Cam Bullock, district senator and candidate for representative (D12)
  • Victoria Warren, district senator and candidate for representative (D14)
  • Deon Masterson, district representative and candidate for representative (D15)
  • Kurtis Pierce, former Secretary of the Treasury and candidate for president (D2)
  • Jack Oliver, former Secretary of Global Development and candidate for VP (D11)
  • Carl Parsons, representative and former LG (D11)
  • Andrew Jones, former First Gentleman of District 11 (D11)
  • Kaitlyn Jones, former governor and nominee for president (D11)

CENTRE CONVENTION:

Senator Julie Roydon accepts the Centre Party presidential nomination.

The convention circuit ended with the Centre Party’s inaugural convention in District 13. The convention was a landmark for the fledgling party, which is currently in its first presidential election cycle.

The convention’s main goal was to display a conclusive vision for the Centre ticket, as the main attack that the Roydon/Christian ticket receives is a lack of clear goals for the nation. Speakers hit on a conservative economic policy, a liberal domestic policy, and a pragmatic approach to foreign policy. A speaker list is below.

Speakers (Day One):

  • Donald Beck, representative and candidate for governor (D6)
  • Stephanie Peters, representative (D15)
  • Lorrie Trent, district senator and candidate for representative (D1)
  • Glenn Beckham, actor and candidate for governor (D7)
  • Rachel Cross, district representative and candidate for representative (D15)
  • Adrianne Horsfall, representative and candidate for governor (D1)
  • Dillan Christian, representative (D10)
  • Matthias Christian, representative and nominee for VP (D10)

Speakers (Day Two):

  • Isabel Calhoun, representative (D2)
  • Natalia MacGregor, district senator and candidate for representative (D4)
  • Rita McDaniel, representative (D11)
  • Tim Coombs, representative (D1)
  • Brady Hanley, representative (D14)
  • Sextimus Dalton, former VP candidate, former representative, and former lieutenant governor (D5)
  • Clarke Randall, senator and Centre Senate Leader (D9)
  • Joseph Garrett, senator (D15)
  • Michael Roydon, husband of presidential nominee Julie Roydon (Capitol)
  • Julie Roydon, senator and nominee for president (Capitol)

BREAKING: Jacquelyn Warner named D7 Senator; Karina Erickson named Solicitor General

BREAKING: Jacquelyn Warner officially tendered her resignation to President Peeta Mellark today before taking the oath of office as District 7’s new junior senator. Soon after, Senator Warner rushed over to the White House, where she stood by as former Attorney General Karina Erickson was nominated to be her successor as Solicitor General.

The double-whammy of nominations ended a long game of musical chairs in the Capitol, all of which started with Associate Justice Malcolm Lowell’s passing. Attorney General Alexandra West was selected to succeed him on the Supreme Court, which then triggered Senator Calvin Wilkie’s nomination as Attorney General. In turn, that allowed for Jacquelyn Warner’s appointment as senator, which resulted in Karina Erickson being nominated for Solicitor General.

Reportedly, Jacquelyn Warner was number one on Governor Mason Wallace (Liberty-D7)’s list out of a total of one candidate. Warner had previously been plotting a run for political office, according to insiders. It is unknown if that run would have been for governor or for senator, but it was likely that Warner would have made either primary competitive as her approval ratings are quite high in her home district.

Karina Erickson’s return to the Department of Justice is nothing short of intriguing as she returns to a lesser position that one she previously occupied. However, it’s rumored that Erickson accepted the position after much advice to do so from Secretary Celine Oswald, First Lady Katniss Everdeen, President Peeta Mellark, Vice President Rebecca Tarson, and even newly-minted Senator Warner herself.

Now, the President must work to usher in three nominees for three separate positions: Associate Justice, Attorney General, and Solicitor General. Jacquelyn Warner, however, does not require an approval process; she, however, faces her first election in the next midterm election.

January 1: Congress, districtwide offices inaugurated

Today, nine new Senators were inaugurated alongside four new chief executives and two new lieutenant governors. senate-inaugurationLikewise, many new representatives have been inaugurated as well. This is all due to the fifth midterm elections that were held back in November that swept these new officials into their positions.

Nine new Senators were inaugurated (in alphabetical order):

Wesley Benson (Liberty-Capitol), freshman class president
Jacob Ellsworth (Liberty-D3), freshman class vice president
Joseph Garrett (Centre-D15)
Clarke Randall (Centre-D9)
Lindsey Richards (Labor-D10)
Julie Roydon (Centre-Capitol)
Owen Talton (Liberty-D13)
Antonio Wallace (Liberty-D4)
Cedric Wallace (Labor-D8)

In the House, twenty-nine new representatives were inaugurated, nine of which were from seats that flipped parties.

In the districts, three new governors and a chief executive were inaugurated:

Celeste Armstrong (Liberty-Capitol)
Harold Cersisa (Liberty-D4)
Layla Folsom (Liberty-D8)
Serena Ross (Liberty-D5)

Also inaugurated were two lieutenant governors:

Todd Layton (Liberty-D5)
Ethan McCoy (Liberty-D8)