PFP POLL: Mellark/Tarson with healthy lead, Jones and Newsom excel in their primaries

Recent polling conducted by The Panem Free Press shows the Mellark/Tarson ticket to still have a healthy lead as expected even as the President’s approval rating has taken a hit due to the Greek crisis. Meanwhile, Civic candidate Patrick Newsom and Conservative candidate Kaitlyn Jones have rapidly risen to the top of their respective primary fields.

The questions asked were as follows:

  • Which political party do you affiliate with: Liberty, Labor, Centre, Civic, Conservative, Independent, or Undecided?
  • If you belong to the Labor Party, which candidate would you vote for in the:
    • Presidential primary: Iris Canstrom, Sylvenia Denton, Walter Delta, Joan Kindred, or undecided?
    • VP primary: Ophelie Murray, Thomas Stemp, Teraton Wendle, or undecided?
  • If you belong to the Civic Party, which candidate would you vote for in the primary: Patrick Newsom, Samuel Trenton, or undecided?
  • If you belong to the Conservative Party, which candidate would you vote for in the
    • Presidential primary: Robert F. Maxwell, Kaitlyn Jones, Kurtis Pierce, or undecided?
    • VP primary: Lynn Germaine, Jack Oliver, Delia Sutherland, or undecided?
  • What is your opinion of the Mellark administration: positive, neutral, negative, or undecided?
  • Do you approve or disapprove of President Mellark’s performance as president: approve, neutral, disapprove, or undecided?
  • Do you approve or disapprove of Vice President Tarson’s performance as vice president: approve, neutral, disapprove, or undecided?
  • In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support:
    • Peeta Mellark, Joan Kindred, Samuel Trenton, Robert F. Maxwell, Julie Roydon, or undecided?
    • Peeta Mellark, Sylvenia Denton, Samuel Trenton, Robert F. Maxwell, Julie Roydon, or undecided?
    • Peeta Mellark, Joan Kindred, Patrick Newsom, Robert F. Maxwell, Julie Roydon, or undecided?
    • Peeta Mellark, Sylvenia Denton, Patrick Newsom, Robert F. Maxwell, Julie Roydon, or undecided?
    • Peeta Mellark, Joan Kindred, Samuel Trenton, Kurtis Pierce, Julie Roydon, or undecided?
    • Peeta Mellark, Sylvenia Denton, Samuel Trenton, Kurtis Pierce, Julie Roydon, or undecided?
    • Peeta Mellark, Joan Kindred, Patrick Newsom, Kurtis Pierce, Julie Roydon, or undecided?
    • Peeta Mellark, Sylvenia Denton, Patrick Newsom, Kurtis Pierce, Julie Roydon, or undecided?
    • Peeta Mellark, Joan Kindred, Samuel Trenton, Kaitlyn Jones, Julie Roydon, or undecided?
    • Peeta Mellark, Sylvenia Denton, Samuel Trenton, Kaitlyn Jones, Julie Roydon, or undecided?
    • Peeta Mellark, Joan Kindred, Patrick Newsom, Kaitlyn Jones, Julie Roydon, or undecided?
    • Peeta Mellark, Sylvenia Denton, Patrick Newsom, Kaitlyn Jones, Julie Roydon, or undecided?

The results are as follows:

Which political party do you affiliate with?

Liberty – 32 percent

Centre – 27 percent

Labor – 15 percent

Civic – 12 percent

Independent – 5 percent

Conservative – 2 percent

Undecided – 7 percent

If you belong to the Labor Party, which candidate would you vote for in the presidential primary?

Sylvenia Denton – 26 percent

Joan Kindred – 24 percent

Walter Delta – 20 percent

Iris Canstrom – 16 percent

Undecided – 14 percent

If you belong to the Labor Party, which candidate would you vote for in the VP primary?

Thomas Stemp – 37 percent

Ophelie Murray – 36 percent

Teraton Wendle – 18 percent

Undecided – 9 percent

If you belong to the Civic Party, which candidate would you vote for in the primary?

Patrick Newsom – 51 percent

Samuel Trenton – 31 percent

Undecided – 18 percent

If you belong to the Conservative Party, which candidate would you vote for in the presidential primary? 

Kaitlyn Jones – 46 percent

Robert F. Maxwell – 24 percent

Kurtis Pierce – 20 percent

Undecided – 10 percent

If you belong to the Conservative Party, which candidate would you vote for in the VP primary? 

Delia Sutherland – 42 percent

Lynn Germaine – 25 percent

Jack Oliver – 24 percent

Undecided – 9 percent

What is your opinion of the Mellark administration?

Positive – 54 percent

Neutral – 10 percent

Negative – 31 percent

Undecided – 5 percent

Do you approve or disapprove of President Mellark’s performance as president?

Approve – 55 percent

Neutral – 5 percent

Disapprove – 34 percent

Undecided – 6 percent

Do you approve or disapprove of Vice President Tarson’s performance as vice president?

Approve – 62 percent

Neutral – 3 percent

Disapprove – 30 percent

Undecided – 5 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (1)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 55 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 27 percent

Joan Kindred (Labor) – 5 percent

Samuel Trenton (Civic) – 4 percent

Robert F. Maxwell (Conservative) – 4 percent

Undecided – 5 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (2)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 56 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 25 percent

Samuel Trenton (Civic) – 7 percent

Robert F. Maxwell (Conservative) – 4 percent

Sylvenia Denton (Labor) – 2 percent

Undecided – 5 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (3)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 49 percent

Patrick Newsom (Civic) – 22 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 18 percent

Robert F. Maxwell (Conservative) – 4 percent

Joan Kindred (Labor) – 3 percent

Undecided – 4 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (4)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 48 percent

Patrick Newsom (Civic) – 29 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 16 percent

Robert F. Maxwell (Conservative) – 3 percent

Sylvenia Denton (Labor) – 2 percent

Undecided – 2 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (5)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 54 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 26 percent

Joan Kindred (Labor) – 6 percent

Kurtis Pierce (Conservative) – 5 percent

Samuel Trenton (Civic) – 4 percent

Undecided – 5 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (6)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 56 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 26 percent

Samuel Trenton (Civic) – 6 percent

Kurtis Pierce (Conservative) – 3 percent

Sylvenia Denton (Labor) – 2 percent

Undecided – 6 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (7)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 49 percent

Patrick Newsom (Civic) – 25 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 16 percent

Kurtis Pierce (Conservative) – 3 percent

Joan Kindred (Labor) – 2 percent

Undecided – 4 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (8)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 50 percent

Patrick Newsom (Civic) – 26 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 16 percent

Kurtis Pierce (Conservative) – 5 percent

Sylvenia Denton (Labor) – 1 percent

Undecided – 2 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (9)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 45 percent

Kaitlyn Jones (Conservative) – 27 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 14 percent

Joan Kindred (Labor) – 7 percent

Samuel Trenton (Civic) – 4 percent

Undecided – 3 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (10)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 49 percent

Kaitlyn Jones (Conservative) – 23 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 16 percent

Samuel Trenton (Civic) – 4 percent

Sylvenia Denton (Labor) – 2 percent

Undecided – 6 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (11)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 34 percent

Kaitlyn Jones (Conservative) – 21 percent

Patrick Newsom (Civic) – 20 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 18 percent

Joan Kindred (Labor) – 3 percent

Undecided – 4 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (12)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 30 percent

Kaitlyn Jones (Conservative) – 27 percent

Patrick Newsom (Civic) – 22 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 17 percent

Sylvenia Denton (Labor) – 2 percent

Undecided – 2 percent


ANALYSIS: This set of polls should be deeply satisfying for the Jones and Newsom campaigns as they see their leads solidify in the face of the oncoming primaries next week. Likewise, these results should obviously terrify the Trenton, Pierce, and Maxwell campaigns as they now face an imminent threat of defeat. In addition, the Mellark/Tarson campaign should beware: their worst-case scenario isn’t too far off. With Newsom, Jones, and Denton leading their respective primaries, there’s a very real chance that scenario number 12 from above could come true. In that case, the election is within the margin of error with Kaitlyn Jones potentially upending the President in the popular vote.

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