Polling by PFP suggests tight Civic and Labor primary, high approvals for Mellark/Tarson

Recent polling conducted by The Panem Free Press indicates that both the Civic and Labor primaries are set to be tight and that the Mellark administration still remains the most popular administration since President Everdeen’s.

The questions asked were as follows:

  • Which political party do you affiliate with: Liberty, Labor, Centre, Civic, Conservative, Independent, or Undecided?
  • If you belong to the Labor Party, which candidate would you vote for in the primary: Iris Canstrom, Sylvenia Denton, Walter Delta, Joan Kindred, Thomas Stemp, or undecided?
  • If you belong to the Civic Party, which candidate would you vote for in the primary: Patrick Newsom, Samuel Trenton, or undecided?
  • If you belong to the Conservative Party, which candidate would you vote for in the primary: 
    • Robert F. Maxwell, Kaitlyn Jones, Kari Lyles, Jack Oliver, Kurtis Pierce, or undecided?
    • Lynn Germaine, Kaitlyn Jones, Kari Lyles, Jack Oliver, Kurtis Pierce, or undecided?
  • What is your opinion of the Mellark administration: positive, neutral, negative, or undecided?
  • Do you approve or disapprove of President Mellark’s performance as president: approve, neutral, disapprove, or undecided?
  • Do you approve or disapprove of Vice President Tarson’s performance as vice president: approve, neutral, disapprove, or undecided?
  • In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support:
    • Peeta Mellark, Joan Kindred, Samuel Trenton, Robert F. Maxwell, Julie Roydon, or undecided?
    • Peeta Mellark, Sylvenia Denton, Samuel Trenton, Robert F. Maxwell, Julie Roydon, or undecided?
    • Peeta Mellark, Joan Kindred, Patrick Newsom, Robert F. Maxwell, Julie Roydon, or undecided?
    • Peeta Mellark, Sylvenia Denton, Patrick Newsom, Robert F. Maxwell, Julie Roydon, or undecided?

The results are as follows:

Which political party do you affiliate with?

Liberty – 38 percent

Centre – 25 percent

Labor – 15 percent

Civic – 12 percent

Independent – 5 percent

Conservative – 2 percent

Undecided – 3 percent

If you belong to the Labor Party, which candidate would you vote for in the primary?

Joan Kindred – 23 percent

Sylvenia Denton – 17 percent

Walter Delta – 13 percent

Thomas Stemp – 11 percent

Iris Canstrom – 10 percent

Undecided – 26 percent

If you belong to the Civic Party, which candidate would you vote for in the primary?

Patrick Newsom – 37 percent

Samuel Trenton – 34 percent

Undecided – 29 percent

If you belong to the Conservative Party, which candidate would you vote for in the primary? (1)

Robert F. Maxwell – 36 percent

Kurtis Pierce – 32 percent

Jack Oliver – 12 percent

Kaitlyn Jones – 3 percent

Kari Lyles – 1 percent

Undecided – 16 percent

If you belong to the Conservative Party, which candidate would you vote for in the primary? (2)

Kurtis Pierce – 35 percent

Lynn Germaine – 31 percent

Jack Oliver – 10 percent

Kaitlyn Jones – 2 percent

Kari Lyles – 1 percent

Undecided – 21 percent

What is your opinion of the Mellark administration?

Positive – 63 percent

Neutral – 14 percent

Negative – 11 percent

Undecided – 12 percent

Do you approve or disapprove of President Mellark’s performance as president?

Approve – 71 percent

Neutral – 5 percent

Disapprove – 15 percent

Undecided – 9 percent

Do you approve or disapprove of Vice President Tarson’s performance as vice president?

Approve – 75 percent

Neutral – 8 percent

Disapprove – 12 percent

Undecided – 5 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (1)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 56 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 21 percent

Joan Kindred (Labor) – 7 percent

Samuel Trenton (Civic) – 6 percent

Robert F. Maxwell (Conservative) – 5 percent

Undecided – 5 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (2)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 54 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 23 percent

Samuel Trenton (Civic) – 9 percent

Robert F. Maxwell (Conservative) – 5 percent

Sylvenia Denton (Labor) – 2 percent

Undecided – 6 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (3)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 51 percent

Patrick Newsom (Civic) – 18 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 16 percent

Robert F. Maxwell (Conservative) – 6 percent

Joan Kindred (Labor) – 5 percent

Undecided – 4 percent

In a hypothetical election, which of these candidates would you support: (4)

Peeta Mellark (Liberty) – 50 percent

Patrick Newsom (Civic) – 25 percent

Julie Roydon (Centre) – 18 percent

Robert F. Maxwell (Conservative) – 3 percent

Sylvenia Denton (Labor) – 2 percent

Undecided – 2 percent


ANALYSIS: While this is rather early polling, it does provide some newsworthy tips to the major parties. In the case of the Liberty Party, President Mellark and Vice President Tarson are immensely popular, as they have been for the past three years. However, this doesn’t mean that they will always be safe- they must compete to keep their positions. For the Centre Party, Senator Roydon polls much better than initially expected, but does much better if former Secretary Trenton wins the Civic nomination. This is good as Senator Randall declined a run as expected and was widely considered Centre’s best candidate. For the Civic Party, party leaders may be inclined to cheer for Trenton, but according to polling, their best shot is with Senator Newsom- he polls tremendously better than any previous Civic candidate or left-wing candidate to date. In the case of the Labor Party, voters are inclined to select former VP nominee Joan Kindred, but controversial Representative Sylvenia Denton is close behind. Unfortunately, neither of the options polled have any significant star power behind them to gain past the point of any previous nominee of the Labor Party. Should the party select Kindred, the party will continue its mediocre showings according to our polls. However, should voters select Denton, who gained in popularity among the Labor base following her infamous rants in the House of Representatives, the party will face abysmal results that threaten the party’s future and integrity. Turning to the Conservative Party, it appears that voters in the party are split once again between the Maxwell/Germaine faction and the Canth faction that is now represented by his former running mate, Kurtis Pierce.

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