PRIMARY FINALE: Conservatives face off for last time in the Capitol and Districts 4, 8, 13, 15

Welcome to the final primary night of the election season, featuring embattled President Rick Canth and his running mate and brother, Representative Jackson Canth, and their opponents, business magnate Robert F. Maxwell and Secretary Lynn Germaine. It appears that after tonight, the President will be defeated in his reelection bid and Representative Canth will lose as well- that is, unless they can stop the bleeding and win the Capitol along with Districts 8, 13, and 15, and then upon that win all 400 unbound delegates. That would split the delegates fifty-fifty between the Maxwell/Germaine ticket and the Canth ticket. It would then go to a second ballot as no one reached a majority of delegates.


Here is the delegate chart once again.

Conservative Delegate Chart

As you can see, there are 1,250 delegates available tonight. The Canths need all of those to win the nomination without the unbound delegates, or alternatively all but District 4 (home of the largest delegate net of 450 delegates) plus 251 of the unbound delegates to win the nomination at the convention on the first ballot. In the case of Maxwell/Germaine, all it will take to win the nomination is a win in District 4 (450 delegates) and a win in another district, as that will propel them over the edge to the nominations. Otherwise, they will need 101 unbound delegates to win.


Let’s review the previous results.

District 1: Canth, Canth

District 2: Canth, Canth

District 3: Maxwell, Germaine

District 5: Maxwell, Germaine

District 6: Maxwell, Germaine

District 7: Canth, Canth

District 9: Maxwell, Germaine

District 10: Canth, Canth

District 11: Maxwell, Germaine

District 12: Maxwell, Germaine

District 14: Maxwell, Germaine


Let’s review our predictions for tonight.

The Capitol: Safe Canth-ticket. The Capitol simply won’t vote for a set of outsiders, even if one works here.

District 4: Safe Maxwell/Germaine. It’s their home district, and that’s what is killing the Canths right now.

District 8: Likely Canth-ticket based on proximity to President Canth’s home district of D7.

District 13: Tossup. No telling how this goes down, and the nomination will be decided here.

District 15: Safe Canth-ticket. It’s the old Capitol, and they do favor the political establishment.

As shown, it’s possible that the Canths could manage to pull off a contested convention. It all hangs on D13 and the 400 unpledged delegates.

Let’s see the delegate totals as they stand right now.

President: Maxwell 1,650, Canth 1,250.

Vice President: Germaine 1,650, Canth 1,250.

We will get back to you when results come in.


UPDATE: We can now report numbers out of District 4. We can now call the largest delegate-rich presidential primary for Mr. Robert F. Maxwell. The delegate count is now Maxwell 2,100, Canth 1,250.

1% in – Maxwell wins – PRESIDENT – D4

Mr. Robert F. Maxwell – 92 percent

Pres. Rick Canth – 8 percent

We can also call the VP primary for Secretary Lynn Germaine. The delegate count is now Germaine 2,100, Canth 1,250.

1% in – Germaine wins – VICE PRESIDENT – D4

Sec. Lynn Germaine – 94 percent

Rep. Jackson Canth – 6 percent

UPDATE 2: We can now report numbers out of District 15. We can now call the presidential primary for District 15 for President Rick Canth. This brings the delegate count to Maxwell 2,100, Canth 1,350.

1% in – Canth wins – PRESIDENT – D15

Pres. Rick Canth – 99 percent

Mr. Robert F. Maxwell – 1 percent

We can also project that the VP primary winner is Representative Jackson Canth. This brings the delegate count to Germaine 2,100, Canth 1,350.

1% in – Canth wins – VICE PRESIDENT – D15

Rep. Jackson Canth– 87 percent

Sec. Lynn Germaine – 13 percent

UPDATE 3: We can now report numbers out of the Capitol. We can now project that President Rick Canth will win the Capitol presidential primary as expected. This brings the delegate count to Maxwell 2,100, Canth 1,450.

1% in – Canth wins – PRESIDENT – Capitol

Pres. Rick Canth – 98 percent

Mr. Robert F. Maxwell – 2 percent

We can also project that Representative Jackson Canth will win the Capitol VP primary. This brings the delegate count to Germaine 2,100, Canth 1,450.

1% in – Canth wins – VICE PRESIDENT – Capitol

Rep. Jackson Canth– 90 percent

Sec. Lynn Germaine – 10 percent

UPDATE 4: We can now report numbers out of District 8. We can project that President Rick Canth will win the textile district’s presidential primary, a crucial win for his campaign. This brings the delegate count to Maxwell 2,100, Canth 1,750.

1% in – Canth wins – PRESIDENT – D8

Pres. Rick Canth – 59 percent

Mr. Robert F. Maxwell – 41 percent

We can now project that the VP primary for District 8 will be won by Representative Jackson Canth. This brings the delegate count to Germaine 2,100, Canth 1,750.

1% in – Canth wins – VICE PRESIDENT – D8

Rep. Jackson Canth– 56 percent

Sec. Lynn Germaine – 44 percent

UPDATE 5: We can now report numbers out of District 13. Both races are too close to call at this time.

1% in – Tossup – PRESIDENT – D13

Pres. Rick Canth – 51 percent

Mr. Robert F. Maxwell – 49 percent

1% in – Tossup – VICE PRESIDENT – D13

Rep. Jackson Canth– 50 percent (+3,101 votes)

Sec. Lynn Germaine – 50 percent

UPDATE 6: We can now report further numbers out of District 13. Both races are still too close to call at this time.

19% in – Tossup – PRESIDENT – D13

Pres. Rick Canth – 51 percent (+12,421 votes)

Mr. Robert F. Maxwell – 49 percent

18% in – Tossup – VICE PRESIDENT – D13

Rep. Jackson Canth– 50 percent (+4,210 votes)

Sec. Lynn Germaine – 50 percent

UPDATE 7: We can now report further numbers out of District 13. Both races are still too close to call at this time.

47% in – Canth leads – PRESIDENT – D13

Pres. Rick Canth – 53 percent

Mr. Robert F. Maxwell – 47 percent

45% in – Tossup – VICE PRESIDENT – D13

Rep. Jackson Canth– 51 percent (+11,002 votes)

Sec. Lynn Germaine – 49 percent

UPDATE 6: We can now report further numbers out of District 13. We can now call the District 13 presidential primary for President Rick Canth, a landmark win for his campaign. The final delegate count for the presidential race without unpledged delegates is now Maxwell 2,100, Canth 2,050.

79% in – Canth wins – PRESIDENT – D13

Pres. Rick Canth – 54 percent

Mr. Robert F. Maxwell – 46 percent

We can now project that Representative Jackson Canth will win District 13’s VP primary. The final delegate count for the VP race without unpledged delegates is now Germaine 2,100, Canth 2,050.

76% in – Canth wins – VICE PRESIDENT – D13

Rep. Jackson Canth– 53 percent

Sec. Lynn Germaine – 47 percent

UPDATE 7: We can now report final numbers from all districts.

100% in – Canth wins – PRESIDENT – Capitol

Pres. Rick Canth – 98 percent

Mr. Robert F. Maxwell – 2 percent

100% in – Canth wins – VICE PRESIDENT – Capitol

Rep. Jackson Canth– 90 percent

Sec. Lynn Germaine – 10 percent

100% in – Maxwell wins – PRESIDENT – D4

Mr. Robert F. Maxwell – 92 percent

Pres. Rick Canth – 8 percent

100% in – Germaine wins – VICE PRESIDENT – D4

Sec. Lynn Germaine – 94 percent

Rep. Jackson Canth – 6 percent

100% in – Canth wins – PRESIDENT – D8

Pres. Rick Canth –60 percent

Mr. Robert F. Maxwell – 40 percent

100% in – Canth wins – VICE PRESIDENT – D8

Rep. Jackson Canth– 58 percent

Sec. Lynn Germaine – 42 percent

100% in – Canth wins – PRESIDENT – D13

Pres. Rick Canth – 54 percent

Mr. Robert F. Maxwell – 46 percent

100% in – Canth wins – VICE PRESIDENT – D13

Rep. Jackson Canth– 53 percent

Sec. Lynn Germaine – 47 percent

100% in – Canth wins – PRESIDENT – D15

Pres. Rick Canth – 99 percent

Mr. Robert F. Maxwell – 1 percent

100% in – Canth wins – VICE PRESIDENT – D15

Rep. Jackson Canth– 87 percent

Sec. Lynn Germaine – 13 percent

ANALYSIS: The Canths have performed an electoral miracle. In two weeks, the Canths have gone from dead in the water to tough competition, from imminent defeat to a contested convention. District 13 turned out for the Canths tonight, and they are what’s holding them over to the convention. Since it isn’t legal for unpledged delegates to publicly disclose their loyalty, it will be uncertain who will emerge the nominee.

UPDATE 8: The Canths held a joint victory rally in District 13.

“Thank you District 13! You have propelled the future of Panem towards the Conservative Party convention! Two weeks ago, the pundits said that a Canth ticket victory was impossible. With you, and with every voter that came to the polls, we are continuing our vision and bringing it back for another round!”

The Maxwell/Germaine ticket issued the following statement:

“While our loss in District 13 was a disappointment, we thank those who voted for us there. We will continue on to the convention, where we will win 2,251 delegates and the nominations.”

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