Preliminary polling for pres. and VP released

Preliminary polling by The Panem Free Press shows the first indicators in the races for the nation’s top two offices. We asked the following questions for every party:

  • Do you approve, disapprove, or have no opinion of the Canth administration?
  • Which of the following parties are you most likely to vote for: Liberty, Conservative, Labor, Civic, Independent, Other, or undecided?
  • Various matchups were polled.

Then, depending on the identification of the party of the participant, the participant will vote on which candidate they prefer for the presidential and vice presidential nominations.

Here are the results, starting with the general polling.

Do you approve, disapprove, or have no opinion of the Canth administration?

Approve – 43 percent

Disapprove – 51 percent

No opinion – 6 percent

From what we polled, President Canth’s administration is currently at a very bad spot. We can deduce that this comes from the contentious election along with the scandal that broke.

Which of the following parties are you most likely to vote for: Liberty, Conservative, Labor, Civic, Independent, Other, or undecided?

Liberty – 24 percent

Conservative – 23 percent

Labor – 12 percent

Civic – 9 percent

Other – 2 percent

Undecided – 30 percent

Well, this shows that our electorate is very, very undecided. In fact, the majority of Panem is undecided in which party they will vote for.

And now for the matchups.

Who would you vote for in a hypothetical matchup between Rick Canth (Cons.), Peeta Mellark (Lib.), Felicia Ren (Lab.), and Cecelia Paylor (Civ.)?

Rick Canth – 21 percent

Peeta Mellark – 24 percent

Felicia Ren – 11 percent

Cecelia Paylor – 8 percent

Undecided – 36 percent

Who would you vote for in a hypothetical matchup between Rick Canth (Cons.), Celine Oswald (Lib.), Felicia Ren (Lab.), and Cecelia Paylor (Civ.)?

Rick Canth – 19 percent

Celine Oswald – 29 percent

Felicia Ren – 9 percent

Cecelia Paylor – 8 percent

Undecided – 35 percent

Who would you vote for in a hypothetical matchup between Rick Canth (Cons.), Dale Wilson (Lib.), Felicia Ren (Lab.), and Cecelia Paylor (Civ.)?

Rick Canth – 17 percent

Dale Wilson – 28 percent

Felicia Ren – 10 percent

Cecelia Paylor – 9 percent

Undecided – 36 percent

Who would you vote for in a hypothetical matchup between Rick Canth (Cons.), Amy Oaksmith (Lib.), Felicia Ren (Lab.), and Cecelia Paylor (Civ.)?

Rick Canth – 19 percent

Amy Oaksmith – 26 percent

Felicia Ren – 9 percent

Cecelia Paylor – 8 percent

Undecided – 38 percent

Who would you vote for in a hypothetical matchup between Rick Canth (Cons.), Gale Hawthorne (Lib.), Felicia Ren (Lab.), and Cecelia Paylor (Civ.)?

Rick Canth – 21 percent

Gale Hawthorne – 20 percent

Felicia Ren – 14 percent

Cecelia Paylor – 11 percent

Undecided – 34 percent

Who would you vote for in a hypothetical matchup between Rick Canth (Cons.), Bella Taylor (Lib.), Felicia Ren (Lab.), and Cecelia Paylor (Civ.)?

Rick Canth – 19 percent

Bella Taylor – 22 percent

Felicia Ren – 5 percent

Cecelia Paylor – 3 percent

Undecided – 51 percent

From these matchups, we can tell just how polarizing our electorate is this term and just how many people are unsure of the current path. Liberty in every matchup does well; even with Gale Hawthorne as the nominee, they are only trailing the incumbent by a single percentage point. An unknown like D2 governor Bella Taylor has major potential, as is shown above. Well-known quantities like Celine Oswald and Vice President Dale Wilson hold significant leads at this point in time, as do the lesser-known candidates, like Governor Amy Oaksmith and Peeta Mellark.

Now, for the primary polling. First up, the Conservative Party.

Who would you prefer for your presidential nomination?

President Rick Canth, incumbent – 98 percent

Other – 2 percent

Who would you prefer for your vice presidential nomination?

Secretary Kurtis Pierce – 15 percent

Representative Jackson Canth – 17 percent

Governor Kaitlyn Jones – 7percent

Secretary Jack Oliver – 3 percent

Secretary Lynn Germaine –  2 percent

Governor Xavier Hansen – 12 percent

Undecided – 44 percent

From this, we can deduce that President Canth’s strength is still there in the party, with only a two-percent opposition. Meanwhile, in the VP polling, President Canth’s own brother seems to have become somewhat of a front-runner, with past nominee Kurtis Pierce right behind him, only to be tightly followed by Governor Hansen, who should be noted for being holding a dual Liberty/Conservative party membership.

As for Liberty:

Who would you prefer for your presidential nomination?

Governor Rosalie Descoteaux – 7 percent

Governor Trenton Escavel – 3 percent

Governor Xavier Hansen -3 percent

Governor Gale Hawthorne – 7 percent

Secretary Beetee Latier – 1 percent

Secretary Jonathan Madison – 6 percent

Senator Peeta Mellark – 10 percent

Governor Amy Oaksmith – 10 percent

Former Vice President Celine Oswald – 11 percent

Speaker Constantin Richelieu – 1 percent

Governor Rebecca Tarson – 2 percent

Governor Bella Taylor – 8 percent

Secretary Tyler Thompson – 1 percent

Vice President Dale Wilson – 14 percent

Undecided – 16 percent

Who would you prefer for your vice presidential nomination?

Governor Rosalie Descoteaux – 8 percent

Governor Trenton Escavel – 6 percent

Governor Xavier Hansen – 5 percent

Governor Gale Hawthorne – 7 percent

Secretary Beetee Latier – 4 percent

Secretary Jonathan Madison – 8 percent

Governor Amy Oaksmith – 10 percent

Governor Rebecca Tarson – 4 percent

Governor Bella Taylor – 9 percent

Secretary Tyler Thompson – 5 percent

Senator Alexandra West – 15 percent

Undecided – 19 percent

Lots and lots of governors under speculation for both nominations this time around. It’s also the first time that two VPs are looking at the same nomination.

People to watch on the presidential race: VP Wilson has the clear edge, but former VP Oswald is right up there too. Governor Oaksmith and Senator Mellark are clear contenders as well and should be watched. On the third tier are Governors Descoteaux, Hawthorne, and Taylor, along with Secretary Madison. All are polling decent and could rise.

People to watch on the vice presidential race: With VP Wilson’s exit, the field now has a new front-runner: Senator Alexandra West. The firebrand senator from District 1 has already declared an exploratory committee and her announcement is impending. She’s not without a set of challengers- see Governors Oaksmith, Descoteaux, and Taylor. All three are capable, but can they topple her? It’s yet to be seen.

And as for Labor:

Who would you prefer for your presidential nomination?

Senator Iris Canstrom – 3 percent

Secretary Walter Delta – 9 percent

Secretary Joan Kindred – 12 percent

Former Senator Ophelie Murray – 1 percent

Governor Felicia Ren – 55 percent

Governor Thomas Stemp – 10 percent

Representative Teraton Wendle -1 percent

Undecided – 9 percent

Who would you prefer for your vice presidential nomination?

Senator Iris Canstrom – 3 percent

Secretary Walter Delta – 24 percent

Secretary Joan Kindred – 26 percent

Former Senator Ophelie Murray – 2 percent

Governor Thomas Stemp – 23 percent

Representative Teraton Wendle -3 percent

Undecided – 19 percent

Thoughts about the presidential polls: If Governor Ren runs, sorry to anyone else. They will waste any money they spend, as it’s over before it has begun. If she opts out, it will be a battle to end all political battles.

Thoughts about the vice presidential polls: Secretary Kindred seems to have a decent lead here, but is closely followed by Governor Stemp and another VP nominee, Secretary Delta. In all reality, it’s insane to think that Delta is polling so well, but we’ll see once a campaign begins.

And finally, for the final party poll, Civic:

Who would you prefer for your presidential nomination?

Secretary Cecelia Paylor – 100 percent

Other – 0 percent

Who would you prefer for your vice presidential nomination?

Governor Bertram Spellings – 34 percent

Secretary Samuel Trenton – 45 percent

Undecided – 21 percent

Thoughts about the presidential polls: So, literally every Civic participant wanted former President Paylor. Not one voted against her. Not even remotely shocking.

Thoughts about the vice presidential polls: Here’s the fun stuff. Governor Spellings is always an option, but he doesn’t seem willing. However, we polled him nonetheless, and he did decently; he only polls behind two-time nominee Samuel Trenton by eleven points without campaigning. Not bad for Spellings should he run.

And of course, the obligatory independent option questions:

Should former Governor Elizabeth Steinbeck run for president again, would you vote for her?

Yes – 12 percent

No – 78 percent

Undecided – 10 percent

Should former Vice President Plutarch Heavensbee run for president again, would you vote for him?

Yes – 34 percent

No – 30 percent

Undecided – 36 percent

Should former Representative Sextimus Dalton run for president, would you vote for him?

Yes – 21 percent

No – 19 percent

Undecided – 60 percent

Should former Representative Sextimus Dalton run for vice president again, would you vote for him?

Yes – 35 percent

No – 23 percent

Undecided – 42 percent

Thoughts on the presidential polls: It’s interesting that we got to poll Dalton as a presidential contender for once. He actually is a political unknown in that field. Meanwhile, it’s pretty obvious that former Governor Steinbeck should not run again with such dismal polling; however, as she famously says, over and over and over and over again, “my campaigns never govern by polling,” which means that we have to sit through her next run for president barring an exceptional circumstance.

Thoughts on the vice presidential polls: Well, Dalton does pretty well for once on a VP poll. This should be interesting- after all, Panem doesn’t have a law against running for both offices at once. Why not run for both, Mr. Dalton?

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