MIDTERM ELECTIONS: Panem set for fourth midterm election cycle

Tonight marks the fourth midterm election cycle in the Republic of Panem and the first under a non-Liberty president. Though midterms typically are a referendum of sorts for the president, it is expected that the Conservatives will gain at the expense of Liberty, Labor, and Civic.

OUR PREDICTIONS:

Liberty is expected to receive around 91 seats in the House, with Conservatives receiving 72 seats, Labor with 30 seats, and Civic with 7 seats. It is unknown who will be the majority party in this scenario, as Liberty will fall eight representatives short of the 100 representatives needed to make a governing majority.

Liberty is expected to receive around 91 seats in the House, with Conservatives receiving 72 seats, Labor with 30 seats, and Civic with 7 seats. It is unknown who will be the majority party in this scenario, as Liberty will fall eight representatives short of the 100 representatives needed to make a governing majority.

In our first prediction, we predict the fusion ticket of Liberty/Conservative candidates retains the Senate with 21 senators, while the opposition will be formed of a coalition between Labor (with 5 seats) and Civic (with 4 seats).

In our prediction, we predict the fusion ticket of Liberty/Conservative candidates retains the Senate with 21 senators, while the opposition will be formed of a coalition between Labor (with 5 seats) and Civic (with 4 seats).

UPDATE: We can confirm that in District 1, Senator Alexandra West, the incumbent, has defeated her opponents by a wide margin. Her victory will likely prove well for a potential VP campaign.

Polling: Liberty/Conservative 56%-Labor 34%-Civic 10%

UPDATE 2: The composition of the Senate remains 21 Liberty/Conservative coalition, 5 Labor, and 4 Civic.

Nothing new here, but nothing new was expected. Michael Debroff will return to the Senate as majority leader.

UPDATE 3: Governorship results are:

  • District 2: Bella Taylor (Liberty) elected to full term. Taylor is first disabled governor.
  • District 3: Bertram Spellings (Civic) reelected.
  • District 4: Rosalie Underwood (Liberty) reelected.
  • District 5: Cynthia Thompson (Liberty) reelected.
  • District 8: Independent Elizabeth Steinbeck is defeated by former governor Felicia Ren (Labor) in extremely contentious contest.
  • District 12: Rebecca Tarson (Liberty) reelected.
  • District 13: Owen Talton (Liberty) reelected.
  • District 14: Rosalie Descoteaux (Liberty) reelected.

UPDATE 4: We’ve waited until the last possible second to report this, purely so we are factually accurate. The following are the results of the House of Representatives elections.

FINAL RESULTS - MIDTERM

As shown above, the Liberty Party barely holds onto a plurality with 79 seats. After that is the Conservative Party with a whopping 78 seats, exceeding expectations. The Labor Party receives a nice 30 seats, exactly the amount expected. The Civic Party receives the expected 7 seats. In a shocking turn of events, a recently formed party called the Centre Party receives 5 seats. An independent has won a single seat.

In further analysis, we can now see two distinct possibilities:

1) The Liberty Party can attempt to form a majority with Labor, Civic, Centre, and the single independent.

2) The Conservatives can do the same.

It’s all of who can get the support first. And, of course, there’s the odd chance that Liberty and the Conservatives can join together to govern, but it would be much less likely.

This will end our coverage for today. Stay tuned for more info on the fight for the House.

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