MIDTERM ELECTIONS: Close high-profile races to be tough to call from start to finish

Midterm elections are coming to an apex, specifically in some key races. Let’s review:

  • In District 5, a contentious primary battle has begun for the Liberty Party nomination for governor between new Governor Douglas Boyd and newly-appointed Lieutenant Governor Cynthia Thompson. Boyd has an advantage as an incumbent, but Thompson has 100% name recognition and the power of former Governor Tyler Thompson on her side. Meanwhile, the Civic and Labor Parties have been scrambling to find viable candidates so they can profit from the vicious attacks between the two Liberty Party candidates. PREDICTION: Likely Liberty hold (general), Lean Thompson (primary)
  • In District 8, incumbent Governor Felicia Ren of the Labor Party is fighting for her political life against independent candidate and multimillionaire Elizabeth Steinbeck. Steinbeck made waves with her comments about Ren, President Everdeen, and People for Panem and now currently is running even with the incumbent governor despite national efforts by the Liberty, Civic, and Labor Parties to force her out of the running. PREDICTION: Tossup.

  • In District 5’s Senate race, former Governor Sophia Delacruz faces no opposition in her primary for the Liberty Party nomination. However, she faces Labor Representative Foster Velasco and D5’s Civic Party Chairman, Hampton Kelsieux, in the primary. However, it seems that this race has yet to prove truly competitive, but there’s still time for the other two to catch up.PREDICTION: Likely Liberty hold

For those determined to get a full analysis of midterm predictions, here you go:

SENATE PREDICTIONS

District 1, seat I – Leans Labor gain (Civic incumbent)

District 1, seat II – Safe Civic hold

District 2, seat I – Likely Liberty hold

District 2, seat II – Safe Liberty hold

District 3, seat I – Likely Civic gain (Labor incumbent)

District 3, seat II – Likely Civic gain (Liberty incumbent)

District 4, seat I – Safe Liberty hold

District 4, seat II – Safe Liberty hold

District 5, seat I – Likely Liberty hold

District 5, seat II – Safe Liberty hold

District 6, seat I – Safe Liberty hold

District 6, seat II – Safe Labor hold

District 7, seat I – Safe Liberty hold

District 7, seat II – Leans Labor hold

District 8, seat I – Leans Liberty hold

District 8, seat II – Safe Liberty hold

District 9, seat I – Leans Civic gain (Labor incumbent)

District 9, seat II – Leans Liberty gain (Labor incumbent)

District 10, seat I – Likely Liberty hold

District 10, seat II – Leans Civic gain (Labor incumbent)

District 11, seat I – Safe Liberty hold

District 11, seat II – Safe Liberty hold

District 12, seat I – Safe Liberty hold

District 12, seat II – Safe Liberty hold

District 13, seat I – Safe Liberty hold

District 13, seat II – Safe Liberty hold

District 14, seat I – Safe Liberty hold

District 14, seat II – Safe Liberty hold

GUBERNATORIAL PREDICTIONS

District 2 – Likely Liberty hold

District 3 – Likely Civic gain (Labor incumbent)

District 4 – Safe Liberty hold

District 5 – PRIMARY: Leans Thompson; GENERAL: Likely Liberty hold

District 8 – Tossup between Labor and independent

District 12 – Safe Liberty hold

District 13 – Safe Liberty hold

District 14 – Safe Liberty hold

WHO WILL CONTROL THE HOUSE? Likely the Liberty Party w/ supermajority.

WHO WILL CONTROL THE SENATE? Heavily favors Liberty w/ supermajority.

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